* User

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.

Login with username, password and session length

Advertisement

* Current Watches/Warnings/Advisories for TN - Click the (+) Icon to the Right to see them ------>


Author Topic: Christmas 2017 Storm  (Read 26683 times)

0 Members and 1 Guest are viewing this topic.

Offline Dyersburg Weather

  • Global Moderator
  • Derecho
  • ******
  • Posts: 1,879
  • Location: North of 40
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 494
Re: Christmas 2017 Storm
« Reply #45 on: December 15, 2017, 07:07:48 AM »
The GEFS mean is back to 2 to 5 statewide.

Offline Clint

  • Thunderstorm
  • ***
  • Posts: 162
  • Location: Olive Branch, Ms.
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 245
Re: Christmas 2017 Storm
« Reply #46 on: December 15, 2017, 07:17:05 AM »
The GEFS mean is back to 2 to 5 statewide.

The GEFS mean looks good. Hopefully the Euro and EPS will trend towards the GEFS. The next few days should be interesting watching the model runs.

Offline Greyhound

  • Shower
  • **
  • Posts: 57
  • Location: Knoxville, TN
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 122
Re: Christmas 2017 Storm
« Reply #47 on: December 15, 2017, 07:26:53 AM »
marshal county. Nice area. I have family there

Makes two of us!! 

Offline Clarksville Snowman

  • Derecho
  • ******
  • Posts: 1,969
  • Location: Woodlawn
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 1227
Re: Christmas 2017 Storm
« Reply #48 on: December 15, 2017, 08:23:13 AM »
Morning runs look interesting again for sure. It's going to be a fun week of model watching. Would be a great way to top off this crazy year with a White Christmas. ::fingerscrossed:: ::popcorn:: ::cold:: ::snowman::

Offline BALLPARK

  • Supercell
  • *****
  • Posts: 693
  • Location: BENTON KY
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 113
Re: Christmas 2017 Storm
« Reply #49 on: December 15, 2017, 08:30:45 AM »
My son is flying in Christmas Eve from Anchorage Alaska to St. Louis Airport it could be quiet a ride to go pick him up.

Offline BRUCE

  • Tornado
  • ******
  • Posts: 6,128
  • Location: Spring creek
  • home of three ef4 tornadoes since 1999
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 1127
Re: Christmas 2017 Storm
« Reply #50 on: December 15, 2017, 08:41:15 AM »
My son is flying in Christmas Eve from Anchorage Alaska to St. Louis Airport it could be quiet a ride to go pick him up.
ole I 24 trio done that bunch from paducah to st.louis
Come on severe wx season...

Offline WXHD

  • Derecho
  • ******
  • Posts: 1,208
  • Location: Nashville, 37221
  • NWS Storm Spotter. Fan of Extreme Weather.
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 353
Re: Christmas 2017 Storm
« Reply #51 on: December 15, 2017, 08:42:39 AM »
Hours 240-252 are a nightmare for mid-west Tn on the 6z GFS. Temps plummet on the ground while rain drops from above.  ::coffee::
Earth transforms sunlight's visible light energy into infrared light energy, which leaves Earth slowly because it is absorbed by greenhouse gases. When people produce greenhouse gases, energy leaves Earth even more slowly – raising Earth's temperature. http://www.howglobalwarmingworks.org/

Offline BRUCE

  • Tornado
  • ******
  • Posts: 6,128
  • Location: Spring creek
  • home of three ef4 tornadoes since 1999
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 1127
Re: Christmas 2017 Storm
« Reply #52 on: December 15, 2017, 08:48:07 AM »
Hours 240-252 are a nightmare for mid-west Tn on the 6z GFS. Temps plummet on the ground while rain drops from above.  ::coffee::
thats got me concerned heading Nashville Xmas
Come on severe wx season...

Offline WXHD

  • Derecho
  • ******
  • Posts: 1,208
  • Location: Nashville, 37221
  • NWS Storm Spotter. Fan of Extreme Weather.
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 353
Re: Christmas 2017 Storm
« Reply #53 on: December 15, 2017, 09:01:26 AM »
I'm surprised to see such a vastly different solution between the 0z and the 6z. Same input, different results.
Earth transforms sunlight's visible light energy into infrared light energy, which leaves Earth slowly because it is absorbed by greenhouse gases. When people produce greenhouse gases, energy leaves Earth even more slowly – raising Earth's temperature. http://www.howglobalwarmingworks.org/

Offline Thundersnow

  • Administrator
  • Tornado
  • ******
  • Posts: 10,613
  • Location: Nolensville
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 6
Re: Christmas 2017 Storm
« Reply #54 on: December 15, 2017, 09:29:53 AM »
I don't really get worked up over apocalyptic scenarios shown on a model 10 days out, but it does seem the pattern screams storm... temperature profiles and placement details to figure out make all the difference on what happens anything from a meh rainy few days to something more impacting.

Offline BRUCE

  • Tornado
  • ******
  • Posts: 6,128
  • Location: Spring creek
  • home of three ef4 tornadoes since 1999
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 1127
Re: Christmas 2017 Storm
« Reply #55 on: December 15, 2017, 09:57:04 AM »
And ifs. And buts. We’re candy and nuts.. everyday be Christmas ... just saying ... lol
Come on severe wx season...

Offline Clarksville Snowman

  • Derecho
  • ******
  • Posts: 1,969
  • Location: Woodlawn
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 1227
Re: Christmas 2017 Storm
« Reply #56 on: December 15, 2017, 10:04:40 AM »
12z is out to 120. Let's see where it takes us! ::rofl:: ::fingerscrossed:: ::cold:: ::snowman::

Offline BRUCE

  • Tornado
  • ******
  • Posts: 6,128
  • Location: Spring creek
  • home of three ef4 tornadoes since 1999
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 1127
Re: Christmas 2017 Storm
« Reply #57 on: December 15, 2017, 10:19:38 AM »
Appears our southeast ridge trying to show up again on gfs. Thus far on 12z

Post Merge: December 15, 2017, 10:32:38 AM
Stout SER. On 12z
« Last Edit: December 15, 2017, 10:32:38 AM by BRUCE, Reason: Merged DoublePost »
Come on severe wx season...

Offline Coach B

  • Derecho
  • ******
  • Posts: 1,938
  • Location: Marshall County
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 190
Re: Christmas 2017 Storm
« Reply #58 on: December 15, 2017, 10:35:45 AM »
Appears our southeast ridge trying to show up again on gfs. Thus far on 12z

Post Merge: December 15, 2017, 10:32:38 AM
Stout SER. On 12z

The boundary looks further south on Christmas Eve to me? Not as much precip and the trough is flatter, but mix line is along I-40.

Offline BRUCE

  • Tornado
  • ******
  • Posts: 6,128
  • Location: Spring creek
  • home of three ef4 tornadoes since 1999
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 1127
Re: Christmas 2017 Storm
« Reply #59 on: December 15, 2017, 10:37:21 AM »
The boundary looks further south on Christmas Eve to me? Not as much precip and the trough is flatter, but mix line is along I-40.
true. Seems still good bit ice for Texas and parts Arkansas
Come on severe wx season...

 

* Recent Posts

Fall 2018 (Epic Winter Prep Thread)
by BRUCE
[Today at 02:57:55 PM]
BEMIS, TN --Historical Weather Facts, Climate Data, and Rainfall
by Mr. William E. Brantley
[September 23, 2018, 02:25:54 PM]
Winter 2018-19
by StormNine
[September 22, 2018, 07:40:57 PM]
Major Hurricane Florence
by cgauxknox
[September 20, 2018, 09:55:23 AM]
Summer (Cancel) 2018
by JayCee
[September 18, 2018, 04:05:56 PM]

Advertisement