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Author Topic: Hurricane Nate  (Read 5133 times)

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Offline NashRugger

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Re: Hurricane Nate
« Reply #15 on: October 07, 2017, 09:27:54 AM »
Center of storm also seems to be avoiding the Yucatan Peninsula.  Bad news for New Orleans.  Wonder if Nate could pull a Charley on us (2004).
No, not going to happen.

Offline harlequin

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Re: Hurricane Nate
« Reply #16 on: October 07, 2017, 09:43:13 AM »
Up to 85 mph now and flying across the Gulf. Latest NHC track has landfall in Mississippi.

Offline JayCee

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Re: Hurricane Nate
« Reply #17 on: October 07, 2017, 09:58:17 AM »
Up to 85 mph now and flying across the Gulf.

That's a very good thing. Not going to spend much time over water. And a landfall in Mississippi will keep New Orleans on the weak side of the storm.
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Offline cgauxknox

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Re: Hurricane Nate
« Reply #18 on: October 07, 2017, 10:33:39 AM »
Latest news is that Nate will reach Cat 2 by landfall.

Offline ryandourius

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Re: Hurricane Nate
« Reply #19 on: October 07, 2017, 10:39:14 AM »
Based off the latest satellite observations and the fact this storm appears to be getting its act together, a strong 2/lower 3 is not out of the question.

Offline StormNine

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Re: Hurricane Nate
« Reply #20 on: October 07, 2017, 10:53:53 AM »
The only saving grace for Nate is its forward speed will probably keep it from making landfall as a Major. If it were to slow down a bit for any reason (not expected) then a Major would be likely because the environment is very favorable off the coast of MS/AL. 

Due to its increased strength and forward speed Nate is now projected by the NHC to still be a Tropical Storm when it reaches the area around Grundy County. 

Offline NashRugger

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Re: Hurricane Nate
« Reply #21 on: October 07, 2017, 10:59:37 AM »
Expect an inland Tropical Storm Watch or High Wind Watch to be hoisted for parts of eastern Middle TN and parts of east TN, including the mountains.

Offline JayCee

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Re: Hurricane Nate
« Reply #22 on: October 07, 2017, 11:22:44 AM »
New forecast track has shifted slightly west, bringing Nate up somewhere between Chattanooga and Nashville and northeast from there. 
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Offline NashRugger

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Re: Hurricane Nate
« Reply #23 on: October 07, 2017, 11:25:33 AM »
Storm surge values for the MS coast have been raised to 7-11ft. This is still not even half of what Katrina brought in, but this'll cause extensive damage down there.

Offline JayCee

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Re: Hurricane Nate
« Reply #24 on: October 07, 2017, 12:04:55 PM »
Looking at the satellite loops, Nate appears to have excellent structure and shows no evidence of shear. If he wasn't running out of water, we would have yet another major hurricane on our hands.  Thank goodness for small favors. 
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Offline dwagner88

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Re: Hurricane Nate
« Reply #25 on: October 07, 2017, 12:37:48 PM »
Expect an inland Tropical Storm Watch or High Wind Watch to be hoisted for parts of eastern Middle TN and parts of east TN, including the mountains.
Yeah official NHC forecast now has a tropical storm entering southern TN. MRX has zero products out right now. Not even a wind advisory or a flood watch. Hopefully the PM shift gets something together. The GA border counties just to my south have been under a TS watch since yesterday afternoon.
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Offline mempho

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Re: Hurricane Nate
« Reply #26 on: October 07, 2017, 02:03:21 PM »
Yeah official NHC forecast now has a tropical storm entering southern TN. MRX has zero products out right now. Not even a wind advisory or a flood watch. Hopefully the PM shift gets something together. The GA border counties just to my south have been under a TS watch since yesterday afternoon.

I'm actually shocked that they don't have tropical storm watches now.  NHC has it as a solid tropical storm in Tennessee right now.  They need to have warnings up now.  This has been known for quite a while now. 


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Offline NashRugger

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Re: Hurricane Nate
« Reply #27 on: October 07, 2017, 02:24:17 PM »
Well, it's not like MRX has one of the best reputations for watches and warnings over the years...

Offline Crockett

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Re: Hurricane Nate
« Reply #28 on: October 07, 2017, 02:38:28 PM »
No one is ever going to accuse MRX of being liberal with their advisory products, but an advisory shouldn't be posted just for the sake of being posted, either. There's nothing in MRX's forecast packages that warrants a tropical storm watch/warning.

Offline Eric

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Re: Hurricane Nate
« Reply #29 on: October 07, 2017, 02:50:33 PM »
I'm actually shocked that they don't have tropical storm watches now.  NHC has it as a solid tropical storm in Tennessee right now.  They need to have warnings up now.  This has been known for quite a while now.

OHX is discussing the feasibility of a wind advisory for Mid TN.  If the wind advisory DOESN'T happen, then tropical watches/warnings surely won't.
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