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Author Topic: Fall 2017  (Read 51145 times)

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Offline StormNine

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Re: Fall 2017
« Reply #360 on: November 23, 2017, 11:32:08 AM »
Happy Thanksgiving and at least it doesn't feel like Memorial Day Weekend instead of Thanksgiving weather wise. 

Offline harlequin

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Re: Fall 2017
« Reply #361 on: November 23, 2017, 05:22:18 PM »
While we haven't really been below normal, KMEM fell to freezing on 10/29, 11/20, 11/22, and 11/23. Last year, we didn't reach freezing until 12/8.

Offline mempho

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Re: Fall 2017
« Reply #362 on: November 28, 2017, 12:43:14 PM »
Quote
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Memphis TN
1213 PM CST Tue Nov 28 2017

.UPDATE...

Updated for 18z TAF discussion

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 241 AM CST Tue Nov 28 2017/

High pressure will continue to shift east today allowing southerly
winds to bring in warmer temperatures to the Mid-South. Expect
highs to be in the upper 60s over most of the area.

Gusty southerly winds may create fire weather concerns across
Northeast Arkansas during the afternoon hours although the winds
will also bring in higher dewpoints which will keep relative
humidity values a little higher than what occurred yesterday. Take
caution when doing any outdoor burning

Clouds ahead of an approaching upper level low pressure system
will begin to spread into the area by sunrise Wednesday. Can`t
rule out some isolated showers occurring across Eastern Arkansas,
extreme West Tennessee, and North Mississippi on Wednesday.
However, better chances for rain will come Wednesday Night and
Thursday ahead of the cold front. Cooler temperatures will filter
into the area Thursday Night into Friday behind the front.

Models really begin to diverge on solutions for the weekend into
early next week. The ECMWF is consistent with building an upper
ridge over the Mid-South for the weekend while the GFS is much
slower building the ridge over the area Sunday Night into Monday.
As a result, the ECMWF is quicker with the next system bringing
rain chances into the region by late Sunday Night into Monday
while the GFS is dry until Tuesday. Regardless of which model is
correct, it will be perfect running conditions if you have running
plans this weekend
or any other outdoor plans for that matter.
Lows will be in the mid 30s to lower 40s with highs in the upper
50s to mid 60s. Since the ECMWF has done better as of late, will
have at least slight chance pops for portions of Northeast
Arkansas late Sunday Night and chance POPS for much of the CWA for
Monday.

KRM

I appreciate the allusion to the St. Jude Memphis Marathon, although I would gladly take 15 degrees off the high temperature.  Still, it looks like low dewpoints will prevail, which, IMO, are more important than the ambient temp. 


Put on my big snow boots and
I boarded the plane
Touched down in the land of the Delta Blues
In the middle of the freezing rain

Snow up high
Won't you pour down over me
Yeah, I got some accretion
But I'm as blue as a boy can be

Offline harlequin

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Re: Fall 2017
« Reply #363 on: November 28, 2017, 09:33:35 PM »
I appreciate the allusion to the St. Jude Memphis Marathon, although I would gladly take 15 degrees off the high temperature.  Still, it looks like low dewpoints will prevail, which, IMO, are more important than the ambient temp.

If you're running, you'll run past my house on Tutwiler by the Vollintine-Evergreen Greenline. I have my best runs in the upper 30s/lower 40s strangely.

Offline schneitzeit

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Re: Fall 2017
« Reply #364 on: November 28, 2017, 10:48:38 PM »
If you're running, you'll run past my house on Tutwiler by the Vollintine-Evergreen Greenline. I have my best runs in the upper 30s/lower 40s strangely.

Not strange at all! The ideal temperature for running is 50 degrees Fahrenheit. You're not far off. I'll tell you what is strange- people who enjoy running in the summer.

Offline mempho

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Re: Fall 2017
« Reply #365 on: November 29, 2017, 01:30:58 AM »
If you're running, you'll run past my house on Tutwiler by the Vollintine-Evergreen Greenline. I have my best runs in the upper 30s/lower 40s strangely.
I'm right there with you. I'd prefer much cooler.  Strangely, I posted that and the forecast got worse!

Sent from my SM-G950U using Tapatalk



Put on my big snow boots and
I boarded the plane
Touched down in the land of the Delta Blues
In the middle of the freezing rain

Snow up high
Won't you pour down over me
Yeah, I got some accretion
But I'm as blue as a boy can be

Offline Curt

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Re: Fall 2017
« Reply #366 on: November 29, 2017, 10:12:11 PM »
I'm right there with you. I'd prefer much cooler.  Strangely, I posted that and the forecast got worse!

Sent from my SM-G950U using Tapatalk

 Did you run in 2013 in 15 degree weather and ice? It was cancelled but a lot of people did it anyways. Iíve rode my bike in the snow when i was younger and not as smart.

Offline mempho

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Re: Fall 2017
« Reply #367 on: November 30, 2017, 09:14:44 PM »
Did you run in 2013 in 15 degree weather and ice? It was cancelled but a lot of people did it anyways. Iíve rode my bike in the snow when i was younger and not as smart.
Curt,

My first year was doing the half in 2014.  Strangely, I had never run more than a mile in my life at that point.   They canceled the race and I was wondering "what's the big deal?"

Little did I know at the time.  I ran the half in 2014 and the full the previous two years.  Last year, the weather was perfecto!

Obviously, I've been running weather models for two weeks now on this - considering my twin passions.... and I've got the tabular Weather charts breaking it down by the hour.

The good thing is the low dewpoints.... A warm, humid day would be an absolute killer. 

Sent from my SM-G950U using Tapatalk



Put on my big snow boots and
I boarded the plane
Touched down in the land of the Delta Blues
In the middle of the freezing rain

Snow up high
Won't you pour down over me
Yeah, I got some accretion
But I'm as blue as a boy can be

Offline JayCee

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Re: Fall 2017
« Reply #368 on: December 03, 2017, 01:44:22 PM »
Last weekend before we enter the heart of winter in the Northern Hemisphere, and I can't say I minded it being so mild--at least knowing what's on the horizon.  The dry, warm day allowed me to burn some brush, and clean the roof and gutters from all the leaves before some significant rain on Tuesday. 

Days are still getting shorter, and the Sun has dropped it low in the sky.  Interesting weather times to look forward to in the next few weeks.  Happy Winter ya'll. 
"For many years I was self-appointed inspector of snowstorms and rainstorms, and did my duty faithfully, though I never received one cent for it.." 
Henry David Thoreau

Offline dwagner88

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Re: Fall 2017
« Reply #369 on: December 03, 2017, 05:35:46 PM »
If you're running, you'll run past my house on Tutwiler by the Vollintine-Evergreen Greenline. I have my best runs in the upper 30s/lower 40s strangely.
Agreed. My PR was 32F at the start, 42F at the finish.
Winter 2009-10 Snowfall: 11.5 in. :)
Winter 2010-11 Snowfall: 15.5 in. :)
Winter 2011-12: Trace
Winter 2012-2013: 0.25 in.
Winter 2013-14: 10.6 (9.5 on 2/12)
Winter 2014-2015:
2/18 - 0.25" snow
2/20 - 1.5" snow, 0.15" ZR
2/24 - 0.5" snow
2/25 - 8" snow :)

 

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