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Author Topic: Winter 2017-18  (Read 241204 times)

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Offline MrWonderful84

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Re: Winter 2017-18
« Reply #1935 on: January 13, 2018, 01:29:12 PM »
OHX says after a brief warmup by Fri.and next wk end, more artic air is coming. NOA/AO is going negative late month. Plenty if winter left after that they said.

Offline schneitzeit

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Re: Winter 2017-18
« Reply #1936 on: January 13, 2018, 01:45:58 PM »
Today's a good day. Cloudy with flurries, ice in patches and snow in the forests. It feels like January  ::snowman::

Offline wfrogge

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Re: Winter 2017-18
« Reply #1937 on: January 13, 2018, 02:01:10 PM »
Has MEG ever had to issue a WSW for two different storms three days apart?

Yes. I do not remember the date but do remember TV METs having to explain what was going on to the public.

Offline JayCee

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Re: Winter 2017-18
« Reply #1938 on: January 13, 2018, 02:08:23 PM »
Today's a good day. Cloudy with flurries, ice in patches and snow in the forests. It feels like January  ::snowman::

Flurries over this way too.  Nice day to have a fire in the fire pit and watch the flurries fall.


Post Merge: January 13, 2018, 02:18:01 PM
Only appropriate since one of your favorite storms is the January 1985 Arctic front show....

Maybe, we'll get something memorable from this one as well. 

Sent from my SM-G950U using Tapatalk

Speaking of that, it was around the 18th that we were dealing with that Super Arctic Express back in '85.  I remember it well, because our furnace went out right in the middle of it, and Dad and I had to keep a fire going in the old Warm Morning coal stove in the basement to keep warm.  It was quite the adventure with heavy snow falling, and temperatures well below zero.  Ah, good times.   ::guitar::

http://www.markvoganweather.com/2015/12/06/a-look-back-super-arctic-outbreak-january-1985/
« Last Edit: January 13, 2018, 02:19:00 PM by JayCee »
"For many years I was self-appointed inspector of snowstorms and rainstorms, and did my duty faithfully, though I never received one cent for it.." 
Henry David Thoreau

Offline Tamlin

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Re: Winter 2017-18
« Reply #1939 on: January 13, 2018, 02:38:27 PM »
There is some energy in TX that the Euro has the clipper interacting with, which I think is enhancing the QPF output. Looks to me the 18z NAM picks up on a similar solution.

Looks like the NAM has been waffling back and forth on this over the last several runs.
« Last Edit: January 13, 2018, 02:41:16 PM by Tamlin »

Offline Adam

Re: Winter 2017-18
« Reply #1940 on: January 13, 2018, 02:40:21 PM »
The NAM solution indicates little more than snow flurries for most of Middle Tennessee Monday night and Tuesday morning. Precipitation becomes more organized south of I-40, but the amounts would not be more than 0.5-1 inches. The GFS and Euro have both trended toward a drier solution. Will be interesting to see what happens with the numerical models in the next coming runs. The NAM is obviously at the end of its run, but has shifted the majority of the "heavier" snow south of Middle Tennessee.
AND A LOT CAN CHANGE BETWEEN NOW AND THEN.

Offline BRUCE

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Re: Winter 2017-18
« Reply #1941 on: January 13, 2018, 02:42:42 PM »
MEG pretty uch going with 1  to 2 inch in most grids across midsouth  exception  nearing inch for ne arkansas... seem like jonesboro ark been missing out lately...
Come on severe wx season...

Offline schneitzeit

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Re: Winter 2017-18
« Reply #1942 on: January 13, 2018, 02:50:32 PM »
NAM looking good for East.

Offline bugalou

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Re: Winter 2017-18
« Reply #1943 on: January 13, 2018, 03:14:40 PM »
Yes. I do not remember the date but do remember TV METs having to explain what was going on to the public.

A little fuzzy, but I believe the Icestorm in 94 resulted in two separate warnings.  I was in 5th grade at the time so forgive me if I am not 100% right but I remember getting out of school early for a very heavy sleet event that accumulated to a couple inches, then I think about 2 days later, having the massive overnight ZR event.  I remember it clearly because the sleet already on the ground made the ZR event stick to every single surface, including the asphalt. I remember the ground was so hard and frozen we could not climb up a slight hill in my buddies backyard and had to essentially army crawl up  it.

One of the older heads here should make a thread on that storm.  I was just getting into the weather then and that storm kind of made me super interested in winter weather because I had never seen anything like that in my life.  100' pine trees in the woods near my house were completely bowed over and then frozen to the ground.  I would love to see some maps and data on how that event transpired.

EDIT:
Checking some Youtube videos it seems I am right there was an event Feb 9th, 1994 and Feb 11th in Memphis.

EDIT2:
I got a little info on the setup too - looks like an Anafrontal sleet event from an arctic front with some over running from Pacific moisture, that brought the sleet, then a low popped in the gulf a day later on the front and brought all the ZR.
« Last Edit: January 13, 2018, 03:26:05 PM by bugalou »

Offline MemphisJDJ

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Re: Winter 2017-18
« Reply #1944 on: January 13, 2018, 03:23:03 PM »
MEG sticking with 1 to 1.5" per their AFD


Offline bugalou

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Re: Winter 2017-18
« Reply #1945 on: January 13, 2018, 03:28:08 PM »
MEG sticking with 1 to 1.5" per their AFD

Northern stream events over perform 9 out of 10 times here.  Wouldn't be surprised to see some isolated 4" amounts here.

Offline Eric

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Re: Winter 2017-18
« Reply #1946 on: January 13, 2018, 03:38:58 PM »
OHX going < 2".
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Offline JayCee

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Re: Winter 2017-18
« Reply #1947 on: January 13, 2018, 03:39:59 PM »
NAM looking good for East.

Sure is.  Just took a look at the 18Z.  I'd like to cash out now, please.  Nevertheless, I'm not getting overly pumped yet.  It is only the NAM showing those totals. 
"For many years I was self-appointed inspector of snowstorms and rainstorms, and did my duty faithfully, though I never received one cent for it.." 
Henry David Thoreau

Offline cliftown04

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Re: Winter 2017-18
« Reply #1948 on: January 13, 2018, 03:42:37 PM »
1-2 inches in this setup would surely make us winter weather fans extremely happy. Id really like to see that powdery snow with highs in the teens and lows around zero.

Offline justinmundie

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Re: Winter 2017-18
« Reply #1949 on: January 13, 2018, 03:52:32 PM »
A little fuzzy, but I believe the Icestorm in 94 resulted in two separate warnings.  I was in 5th grade at the time so forgive me if I am not 100% right but I remember getting out of school early for a very heavy sleet event that accumulated to a couple inches, then I think about 2 days later, having the massive overnight ZR event.  I remember it clearly because the sleet already on the ground made the ZR event stick to every single surface, including the asphalt. I remember the ground was so hard and frozen we could not climb up a slight hill in my buddies backyard and had to essentially army crawl up  it.

One of the older heads here should make a thread on that storm.  I was just getting into the weather then and that storm kind of made me super interested in winter weather because I had never seen anything like that in my life.  100' pine trees in the woods near my house were completely bowed over and then frozen to the ground.  I would love to see some maps and data on how that event transpired.

EDIT:
Checking some Youtube videos it seems I am right there was an event Feb 9th, 1994 and Feb 11th in Memphis.

EDIT2:
I got a little info on the setup too - looks like an Anafrontal sleet event from an arctic front with some over running from Pacific moisture, that brought the sleet, then a low popped in the gulf a day later on the front and brought all the ZR.

I believe we had thunder and lightning during either the sleet or freezing rain. I was also young... only 9

 

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