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Author Topic: Winter 2017-18  (Read 297841 times)

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Offline mempho

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Re: Winter 2017-18
« Reply #690 on: December 14, 2017, 05:48:22 PM »
Still no thread the Christmas storm?  Come on, people - live a little.

I don't believe it's going to be a bust but so stay if it does? 

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Put on my big snow boots and
I boarded the plane
Touched down in the land of the Delta Blues
In the middle of the freezing rain

Snow up high
Won't you pour down over me
Yeah, I got some accretion
But I'm as blue as a boy can be

Offline JayCee

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Re: Winter 2017-18
« Reply #691 on: December 17, 2017, 07:25:25 AM »
31 here this morning with moisture rapidly advancing into the area.  Frost still on the cars, and I'm sure road surfaces are cold, as well.  Hope we don't have icing issues on area roads, but going to be a close call if we don't warm quickly. 
"For many years I was self-appointed inspector of snowstorms and rainstorms, and did my duty faithfully, though I never received one cent for it.." 
Henry David Thoreau

Offline harlequin

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Re: Winter 2017-18
« Reply #692 on: December 17, 2017, 09:22:33 AM »
0.68" at KMEM overnight. Not a drought buster, but the next weeks looks promising. Hopefully won't see severe conditions spread across the River, and Arkansas shouldn't see the whole state go Extreme.

Offline JayCee

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Re: Winter 2017-18
« Reply #693 on: December 17, 2017, 09:36:31 AM »
Drought has certainly made inroads into much of the mid-south.  It's also spreading into the Plains and southeast U.S..

http://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/



Post Merge: December 17, 2017, 10:22:52 AM
Having some light sleet here this morning. . .
« Last Edit: December 17, 2017, 10:22:52 AM by JayCee, Reason: Merged DoublePost »
"For many years I was self-appointed inspector of snowstorms and rainstorms, and did my duty faithfully, though I never received one cent for it.." 
Henry David Thoreau

Offline harlequin

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Re: Winter 2017-18
« Reply #694 on: December 18, 2017, 09:36:55 AM »
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Offline schneitzeit

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Re: Winter 2017-18
« Reply #695 on: December 18, 2017, 10:08:15 AM »
Good to see. ARK needs it.

Offline mamMATTus

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Re: Winter 2017-18
« Reply #696 on: December 18, 2017, 11:35:27 AM »
12z GFS has a concerning look at the end of the run...major ice storm. I know that means nothing at this point, but the GFS did pick up on this Christmas storm pretty early on.

Offline JayCee

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Re: Winter 2017-18
« Reply #697 on: December 18, 2017, 12:05:06 PM »
Very active pattern begins in earnest this week.  Tennessee is sitting in the bulls eye of heavy precipitation over the next two weeks starting this Wednesday when 1-3 inches of rain should fall.  Another soaking looks likely over the Christmas weekend when the Arctic front stalls nearby.  GFS now back to showing snow in eastern TN for Christmas.  I'm not biting for now.  if it shows it Saturday, maybe I'll get excited.  GFS should be called the WFS.  Waffles abbreviated. 
"For many years I was self-appointed inspector of snowstorms and rainstorms, and did my duty faithfully, though I never received one cent for it.." 
Henry David Thoreau

Offline schneitzeit

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Re: Winter 2017-18
« Reply #698 on: December 18, 2017, 12:07:55 PM »
Very active pattern begins in earnest this week.  Tennessee is sitting in the bulls eye of heavy precipitation over the next two weeks starting this Wednesday when 1-3 inches of rain should fall.  Another soaking looks likely over the Christmas weekend when the Arctic front stalls nearby.  GFS now back to showing snow in eastern TN for Christmas.  I'm not biting for now.  if it shows it Saturday, maybe I'll get excited.  GFS should be called the WFS.  Waffles abbreviated.

I think everyone in the state will pick something up before New Year's.

Offline JayCee

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Re: Winter 2017-18
« Reply #699 on: December 18, 2017, 12:27:52 PM »
I think everyone in the state will pick something up before New Year's.

Like mamMATTus, I'm a bit concerned about a major icing event during the next two weeks.  Models tend to underestimate the extent and push of the heavy cold air at the surface when it "bleeds" in and undercuts moisture. 
"For many years I was self-appointed inspector of snowstorms and rainstorms, and did my duty faithfully, though I never received one cent for it.." 
Henry David Thoreau

Offline Bobcat

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Re: Winter 2017-18
« Reply #700 on: December 18, 2017, 09:02:34 PM »
Hi all, newbie question.  Iím studying up on the GFS and Iíve got most of it but Iím curious about the blue and red dotted lines.  Iím assuming it has to do with temps, but what are the numbers associated with the lines?  Thanks

Offline justinmundie

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Re: Winter 2017-18
« Reply #701 on: December 18, 2017, 09:11:43 PM »
Those lines are thicknesses

540 thickness is generally associated with snow, but not always.

http://weatherfaqs.org.uk/node/152

Offline Dyersburg Weather

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Re: Winter 2017-18
« Reply #702 on: December 18, 2017, 10:43:31 PM »
If you want to see a text book back in the good old days set up look no further than the 12z GFS. Hour 234


Offline Tamlin

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Re: Winter 2017-18
« Reply #703 on: December 18, 2017, 10:48:51 PM »
Meh. Hour 234 is as far north and east as she goes. The 10 day fantasy storms are coming fast and furious now but they are 10 day storms.

Offline Volduff64

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Re: Winter 2017-18
« Reply #704 on: December 18, 2017, 10:49:52 PM »
Just said same thing on other post. Just hope it looks that way in 5 days. Best look I have seen in a good while.

 

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