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Author Topic: Winter 2017-18  (Read 60161 times)

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Offline Curt

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Re: Winter 2017-18
« Reply #195 on: November 15, 2017, 01:34:22 PM »
12z GFS has the first big fantasy storm of the season around hour 252. Don't think it's anything to get excited over with zero consistency, but at least it is that time of year!

Oh this little thing on day 10?

Offline joemomma

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Re: Winter 2017-18
« Reply #196 on: November 15, 2017, 01:41:19 PM »
LOL good grief!

Offline Drifter49

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Re: Winter 2017-18
« Reply #197 on: November 15, 2017, 01:42:26 PM »
Oh this little thing on day 10?


Lock it in LOL


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To enjoy things in life that are good, you first must endure things that suck!
Bring on the snow baby!!!

Offline JayCee

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Re: Winter 2017-18
« Reply #198 on: November 16, 2017, 06:37:06 AM »
Interesting that a warm blob of water is once again appearing in parts of the Pacific off the northwest coast of North America.  That was the driver of many of our better/colder winters from 2013-15, and it was absent last year.  I'm curious how much it will influence this year's winter pattern. 
« Last Edit: November 16, 2017, 09:03:30 AM by JayCee »
"For many years I was self-appointed inspector of snowstorms and rainstorms, and did my duty faithfully, though I never received one cent for it.." 
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Offline StormNine

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Re: Winter 2017-18
« Reply #199 on: November 23, 2017, 07:11:52 PM »
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/814temp.new.gif

Deck the halls with a blowtorch for the first week of December.

Offline JayCee

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Re: Winter 2017-18
« Reply #200 on: November 24, 2017, 07:22:08 AM »
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/814temp.new.gif

Deck the halls with a blowtorch for the first week of December.

Looks like week 1 of meteorological winter goes to the Heat Miser. 
"For many years I was self-appointed inspector of snowstorms and rainstorms, and did my duty faithfully, though I never received one cent for it.." 
Henry David Thoreau

Offline BRUCE

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Re: Winter 2017-18
« Reply #201 on: November 24, 2017, 08:27:36 AM »
Looks like week 1 of meteorological winter goes to the Heat Miser.
not a bad thing.  Remember 84 85 winter
Come on severe wx season...

Offline JayCee

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Re: Winter 2017-18
« Reply #202 on: November 24, 2017, 04:59:03 PM »
not a bad thing.  Remember 84 85 winter
Not overly concerned yet.  Most long range forecasts, including those made by some here, said December should be warm.  The Northern Hemisphere has a good snow pack already in Canada and Asia, so we aren't where we were this time last year.  Hopefully, we can get some action in January.  Nothing to do but wait and see. 
"For many years I was self-appointed inspector of snowstorms and rainstorms, and did my duty faithfully, though I never received one cent for it.." 
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Online cliftown04

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Re: Winter 2017-18
« Reply #203 on: November 25, 2017, 01:10:21 PM »
I am sooo ready for some life on this site!  It's been dead so long I sometimes wonder if many members have moved on.  I hope we find out soon!!!

Offline schneitzeit

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Re: Winter 2017-18
« Reply #204 on: November 25, 2017, 08:17:48 PM »
I am sooo ready for some life on this site!  It's been dead so long I sometimes wonder if many members have moved on.  I hope we find out soon!!!

Nothing looks major out to 14 days, so we might have to be patient for something to get excited about. GFS is turning cooler around day 14.  ::fingerscrossed::

Post Merge: November 25, 2017, 08:20:42 PM
We look to be warmer than normal to begin December, but if we follow the same temperature pattern as we have this month, we might cash in. Just need a MAJOR shift in the storm tracks. It's been dead and will stay that way for at least another week.
« Last Edit: November 25, 2017, 08:20:42 PM by schneitzeit, Reason: Merged DoublePost »

Online skillsweather

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Re: Winter 2017-18
« Reply #205 on: November 25, 2017, 09:36:04 PM »
imo its to early for snow not that it cant happen but come the end of December is when we usually have snow storms to track that actually have any chance of happening. I will say if the models stay as boring as they have been by the end of December then well thats a bad sign for us probably. Still to soon to care about anything really on the models snow wise.
867-5309

Offline BRUCE

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Re: Winter 2017-18
« Reply #206 on: November 26, 2017, 06:32:10 AM »
imo its to early for snow not that it cant happen but come the end of December is when we usually have snow storms to track that actually have any chance of happening. I will say if the models stay as boring as they have been by the end of December then well thats a bad sign for us probably. Still to soon to care about anything really on the models snow wise.
yeah. This pattern is. Dilly dilly. Meh

Post Merge: November 26, 2017, 07:19:39 AM
on another weather forum that i float around n post time or two... they seem to think the cometh of the second ice age is coming around mid december... lmao... i havent looked that far ahead   cause its to far out no sense... but we will see
« Last Edit: November 26, 2017, 07:19:39 AM by BRUCE, Reason: Merged DoublePost »
Come on severe wx season...

Offline harlequin

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Re: Winter 2017-18
« Reply #207 on: November 26, 2017, 11:29:35 AM »


No drought officially here, but a lot of Arkansas is in the severe category.

Offline BRUCE

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Re: Winter 2017-18
« Reply #208 on: November 26, 2017, 11:32:57 AM »


No drought officially here, but a lot of Arkansas is in the severe category.
yeah... things dont change... which i doubt with this la nina     next summer going be brutal

Post Merge: November 26, 2017, 11:56:09 AM
if the 12z gfs is correct... it has the seasons first artic attack end of first week december... ::cold::
« Last Edit: November 26, 2017, 11:56:09 AM by BRUCE, Reason: Merged DoublePost »
Come on severe wx season...

Offline Curt

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Re: Winter 2017-18
« Reply #209 on: November 26, 2017, 12:28:06 PM »


No drought officially here, but a lot of Arkansas is in the severe category.

The Mid South and Arkansas in particular should get some good relief over the next 15 days


Also all longer range modeling is tanking the AO, NAO, and EPO in about 2 weeks. We may be about to see an abrupt change to winter. This is the EPS temp anomaly for day 15


 

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