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Author Topic: Winter 2017-18  (Read 284959 times)

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Offline WXRocker

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Re: Winter 2017-18
« Reply #2535 on: February 10, 2018, 04:41:49 PM »
There's a fairly powerful Arctic front moving in over the Plains at the end of the CMC run. While not as cold, the GFS agrees; the pattern may shift back to less precipitation and below normal temps in 10-14 days.
Because why would anyone want any snow, anyway? :p
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Offline JayCee

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Re: Winter 2017-18
« Reply #2536 on: February 10, 2018, 04:42:21 PM »
Just .12" of rain overnight, as the main event here doesn't get started until later today. 

High of 58 expected today, but a surge of warmth and moisture tomorrow pushes highs into the upper 60's, despite the rain. It will definitely feel like spring with dewpoints also in the lower 60's.

Forget that.  The warmest we got today is 50, and that's the current temperature.  We had a decent break in the rain this morning, and I was able to hike about 5 miles before the rain set in.  It has been raining steadily since lunch, and temperatures never got to the advertised 58. 

If models can't get today's temperatures right, why do we put an ounce of faith into predictions 10 days out???   >:D
« Last Edit: February 10, 2018, 04:48:51 PM by JayCee »
"For many years I was self-appointed inspector of snowstorms and rainstorms, and did my duty faithfully, though I never received one cent for it.." 
Henry David Thoreau

Offline WXRocker

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Re: Winter 2017-18
« Reply #2537 on: February 10, 2018, 04:51:34 PM »
Forget that.  The warmest we got today is 50, and that's the current temperature.  We had a decent break in the rain this morning, and I was able to hike about 5 miles before the rain set in.  It has been raining steadily since lunch, and temperatures never got to the advertised 58. 

If models can't get today's temperatures right, why do we put an ounce of faith into predictions 10 days out???   >:D
If it keeps going like this, you won't have to hike tomorrow, you can just swim.  ::drowning::
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Offline dwagner88

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Re: Winter 2017-18
« Reply #2538 on: February 10, 2018, 04:58:44 PM »
Forget that.  The warmest we got today is 50, and that's the current temperature.  We had a decent break in the rain this morning, and I was able to hike about 5 miles before the rain set in.  It has been raining steadily since lunch, and temperatures never got to the advertised 58. 

If models can't get today's temperatures right, why do we put an ounce of faith into predictions 10 days out???   >:D
Yep. I shut my heat off preemptively expecting it to get muggy in the house. Had to turn it back on again.
Winter 2009-10 Snowfall: 11.5 in. :)
Winter 2010-11 Snowfall: 15.5 in. :)
Winter 2011-12: Trace
Winter 2012-2013: 0.25 in.
Winter 2013-14: 10.6 (9.5 on 2/12)
Winter 2014-2015:
2/18 - 0.25" snow
2/20 - 1.5" snow, 0.15" ZR
2/24 - 0.5" snow
2/25 - 8" snow :)

Offline Dyersburg Weather

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Re: Winter 2017-18
« Reply #2539 on: February 10, 2018, 07:26:06 PM »
Comfortable 38 degrees with light steady rain. 1.25 inches so far with this one.

Offline Mr. Golf

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Re: Winter 2017-18
« Reply #2540 on: February 10, 2018, 07:32:21 PM »
Comfortable 38 degrees with light steady rain. 1.25 inches so far with this one.

Dyer, the euro is trying to develop a big event toward end of the week, wknd. I know its early, but don't sleep on it with stalled artic front. Always in the south, depends on cold air or enough cold air

Offline WXHD

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Re: Winter 2017-18
« Reply #2541 on: February 10, 2018, 08:05:08 PM »
@2.5 here.  It's wet.
Earth transforms sunlight's visible light energy into infrared light energy, which leaves Earth slowly because it is absorbed by greenhouse gases. When people produce greenhouse gases, energy leaves Earth even more slowly Ė raising Earth's temperature. http://www.howglobalwarmingworks.org/

Offline Dyersburg Weather

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Re: Winter 2017-18
« Reply #2542 on: February 11, 2018, 01:12:31 AM »
Well ****.


Offline Curt

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Re: Winter 2017-18
« Reply #2543 on: February 11, 2018, 08:59:39 AM »
Well ****.



Kinda makes me nervous with an arctic front just off to the west. Repeat pattern continues.

Offline cliftown04

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Re: Winter 2017-18
« Reply #2544 on: February 11, 2018, 09:33:55 AM »
I wonder if we are setting the stage for additional significant river flooding upcoming...

Offline harlequin

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Re: Winter 2017-18
« Reply #2545 on: February 11, 2018, 10:00:49 AM »
Ended up with a little over 2" here and hovering around a nasty 33.

Offline JayCee

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Re: Winter 2017-18
« Reply #2546 on: February 11, 2018, 10:07:18 AM »
Had right at 2.5", but sitting at a balmy 61.  A lot more rain fell to my west in Knox Co.   

Supposed to get into the upper 60's here today before the colder air moves in.

"For many years I was self-appointed inspector of snowstorms and rainstorms, and did my duty faithfully, though I never received one cent for it.." 
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Offline cliftown04

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Re: Winter 2017-18
« Reply #2547 on: February 11, 2018, 10:07:33 AM »
2/4-2/11 Iíve recorded 5.99Ēand no doubt Iíll pick up that additional hundredth today!!

Offline Nashville_Wx

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Re: Winter 2017-18
« Reply #2548 on: February 11, 2018, 10:23:20 AM »
Absolutely drenched here in Bellevue (Southwest Davidson). At least 3.5" of rainfall has fallen here throughout the event. We are still getting off and on moderate showers. Will be interesting to note the finally totals.

Post Merge: February 11, 2018, 10:36:17 AM
Leaving tomorrow AM for the mountains in Colorado. Model madness this morning as the 12Z GFS makes a sudden change in 6 HOURS. Ill be in the Front range and along the Divide. Huge changes for mountain conditons..... Its not just here where crazy things happen, its just usually for the worse not the best .

00Z GFS


12Z GFS
« Last Edit: February 11, 2018, 10:36:18 AM by Nashville_Wx, Reason: Merged DoublePost »


Offline JayCee

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Re: Winter 2017-18
« Reply #2549 on: February 11, 2018, 11:36:15 AM »
Sun breaking out here and temps have responded accordingly, jumping to 67.   With the dewpoint at a spring-ish 63, this is the first "muggy" day of the year.  Since it is so early in the afternoon, I'd say this will be a 70 degree day, as well.  Opening the windows for some fresh, waterlogged air. 
"For many years I was self-appointed inspector of snowstorms and rainstorms, and did my duty faithfully, though I never received one cent for it.." 
Henry David Thoreau

 

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