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Author Topic: Summer 2017  (Read 90479 times)

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Offline JayCee

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Re: Summer 2017
« Reply #225 on: July 13, 2017, 10:44:54 AM »
looks like the death ridge is fully in place for the next month. Time to bake  ::blowtorch::

Just in time for the dog days. 
"For many years I was self-appointed inspector of snowstorms and rainstorms, and did my duty faithfully, though I never received one cent for it.." 
Henry David Thoreau

Offline Crockett

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Re: Summer 2017
« Reply #226 on: July 13, 2017, 10:52:24 AM »
The GFS is pretty ridiculous with the heat, post-truncation, and is very consistent with it. I've been skeptical of it this summer because it has constantly tried to put us in the oven in the long range and has constantly been wrong, but it has plenty of support this time.

CPC is still forecasting below-average temps centered over TN and the Mid-South for the same timeframe.  :o

Offline JayCee

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Re: Summer 2017
« Reply #227 on: July 13, 2017, 01:04:25 PM »
A super hot death ridge wouldn't exactly fit the pattern we've been in lately, but August usually does bring the heat. 

In the meantime, you can clearly see the areas of convection on the Plateau from my vantage point well east of there in the Smoky foothills.  The storms are slowly spreading down into the Valley, so we could see them here during the evening. 

 


Post Merge: July 13, 2017, 03:06:03 PM
Interesting observation from MRX today:

Quote
LONG TERM (Friday night through Thursday)...
It`s hard to believe that we are in mid July and yet another
synoptic cold front is forecast to press south through the
Southern Appalachians during the long term. The boundary slips
into the area on Friday night into Saturday bringing an increase
in convection to the viewing area. The boundary shifts only slowly
south but could be clear of the southern part of the region near
the Georgia border by 12z Sunday; thus the slight and small chance
pops for a shower or thunderstorm in southern sections through
this period. The atmosphere apparently is not finished yet with
the active Eastern United States Summer of 2017 as another well
developed upper trough amplifies southward into the eastern third
of the of the nation bringing a chance for more showers and
thunderstorms in the Southern Appalachians mainly Monday into
Tuesday so applied the chance probability to account for this
possibility. The increased cloud cover and convective
possibilities argue for a slight reduction in max temps on
Saturday with only a small rise in the mercury on Sunday into
Monday. Intense Summer season heating and a rise in humidity
should result in a more uncomfortable Tuesday and Wednesday.

&&
« Last Edit: July 13, 2017, 03:06:03 PM by JayCee, Reason: Merged DoublePost »
"For many years I was self-appointed inspector of snowstorms and rainstorms, and did my duty faithfully, though I never received one cent for it.." 
Henry David Thoreau

Offline JayCee

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Re: Summer 2017
« Reply #228 on: July 14, 2017, 02:21:55 PM »
Like yesterday, I'm getting some really cool views of distant storms.  Classic towering cumulus and cumulonimbus. 

Strangely, there must be a stable layer or a cap in the Valley the last two days.  Both yesterday and today the storms simply die as the come off the Plateau. 

 
"For many years I was self-appointed inspector of snowstorms and rainstorms, and did my duty faithfully, though I never received one cent for it.." 
Henry David Thoreau

Offline skillsweather

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Re: Summer 2017
« Reply #229 on: July 14, 2017, 04:40:22 PM »
I sure hope I can luck out on a storm by tomorrow. No rain here all week small shower today but it barely wet the road even. And no good rain chances for awhile with 90+ temps its going to dry off fast. No big droughts to worry about but I dont want it to dry off to soon or its really going to get hot.
867-5309

Offline SteveInSmyrna

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Re: Summer 2017
« Reply #230 on: July 14, 2017, 07:42:13 PM »
Like yesterday, I'm getting some really cool views of distant storms.  Classic towering cumulus

 

What is going on with those white dotted lines in both photos?  I've heard all the conspiracy theories about contrails / chemtrails but those are crazy. And the fact that they show up in photos that appear to be taken back to back is even more odd to me.

Offline harlequin

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Re: Summer 2017
« Reply #231 on: July 14, 2017, 09:23:25 PM »
The area around the intersection of I240E/I40 in East Memphis has had remarkable consistency with getting a thunderstorm or heavy shower around rush hour many days this summer. I stayed late at my office today and we probably had 2-3" while nothing at my house.

Offline JayCee

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Re: Summer 2017
« Reply #232 on: July 15, 2017, 08:25:11 AM »
What is going on with those white dotted lines in both photos?  I've heard all the conspiracy theories about contrails / chemtrails but those are crazy. And the fact that they show up in photos that appear to be taken back to back is even more odd to me.

Just lights reflecting in the office window--super bright LED's.  At least that's my cover story.   ::evillaugh::
"For many years I was self-appointed inspector of snowstorms and rainstorms, and did my duty faithfully, though I never received one cent for it.." 
Henry David Thoreau

Offline Thundersnow

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Re: Summer 2017
« Reply #233 on: July 15, 2017, 09:53:49 AM »
Activity over the last day or so has been very slow-moving, almost stationary.


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Offline snowdog

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Re: Summer 2017
« Reply #234 on: July 15, 2017, 01:18:51 PM »
A nice soaking rain again this morning. Has to be one of the wetter July's I can remember.  ::rain::

Online BRUCE

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Re: Summer 2017
« Reply #235 on: July 15, 2017, 01:42:42 PM »
A nice soaking rain again this morning. Has to be one of the wetter July's I can remember.  ::rain::
get it while  we can.... 8)
Come on severe wx season...

Offline dwagner88

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Re: Summer 2017
« Reply #236 on: July 15, 2017, 04:07:09 PM »
Swing and a miss on the rain today. It was all around, but I only got 0.08" in the bucket at my house.
Winter 2009-10 Snowfall: 11.5 in. :)
Winter 2010-11 Snowfall: 15.5 in. :)
Winter 2011-12: Trace
Winter 2012-2013: 0.25 in.
Winter 2013-14: 10.6 (9.5 on 2/12)
Winter 2014-2015:
2/18 - 0.25" snow
2/20 - 1.5" snow, 0.15" ZR
2/24 - 0.5" snow
2/25 - 8" snow :)

Offline Dyersburg Weather

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Re: Summer 2017
« Reply #237 on: July 15, 2017, 08:16:30 PM »
Ended up with .84 yesterday. We are at 3.94 for the month at my house. We had 7.5 in June. Making the humidity down right awful.

Offline cbrentv3

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Re: Summer 2017
« Reply #238 on: July 15, 2017, 09:39:54 PM »
Saw these storms in the Jacksonville area this afternoon .


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Offline bigdog660

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Re: Summer 2017
« Reply #239 on: July 16, 2017, 04:28:46 PM »
Valley in east Tennessee didn't see much from these past 3 days. No rain to speak of except for yesterday where we had a trace. Temps in the upper 80's to 90.😓 Only 1.80" for July so far.

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« Last Edit: July 16, 2017, 04:32:17 PM by bigdog660 »
<a href="http://www.wunderground.com/swf/pws_mini_rf_nc.swf?station=KTNKNOXV19&amp;freq=&amp;units=english&amp;lang=EN" target="_blank" class="new_win">http://www.wunderground.com/swf/pws_mini_rf_nc.swf?station=KTNKNOXV19&amp;freq=&amp;units=english&amp;lang=EN</a>

 

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