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Author Topic: Memorial Day Weekend Storms  (Read 2959 times)

wfrogge, NWTNWeakley, wmp600, collinsk, OBstorm89, ash3211, Beth, Jallgood27, Matt, JTM1988 (+ 1 Hidden) and 17 Guests are viewing this topic.

Offline Dyersburg Weather

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Re: Memorial Day Weekend Storms
« Reply #30 on: Today at 12:47:52 PM »
Currently 83/78 here. I would suspect the cape is ridiculous. Will be interesting to see what develops.
« Last Edit: Today at 01:03:44 PM by Dyersburg Weather »

Offline NashRugger

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Re: Memorial Day Weekend Storms
« Reply #31 on: Today at 01:05:22 PM »
Moisture has rapidly advected into the Nashville area. DPs have risen on the order of 5-9 degrees since sunrise and the CU field exploded rapidly within 1.5 hours after the passage of the dead anvil from the storms this morning.

Already seeing isolated activity in Cheatham and Davidson Counties.

Offline Thundersnow

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Memorial Day Weekend Storms
« Reply #32 on: Today at 01:09:00 PM »
It does feel rather sticky out.


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Online collinsk

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Re: Memorial Day Weekend Storms
« Reply #33 on: Today at 01:10:20 PM »
Discussion on AFD NWS BNA was saying earlier they expected little to no capping.??

Offline NashRugger

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Re: Memorial Day Weekend Storms
« Reply #34 on: Today at 01:15:27 PM »
No, there is still some cap, but the forecasted amount has decreased with successive model runs, and it shows. Models aren't handling the exploding convection in KS or MO right now, but with such volatile ingredients, the wind threat will be quite high.

Expect more storms to develop this afternoon with a relatively weak cap and more than abundant moisture and continued growing instability.

I do wish OHX would post an updated AFD soon rather than the typical gap between the morning and afternoon main AFDs.

Online Vols1

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Re: Memorial Day Weekend Storms
« Reply #35 on: Today at 01:32:56 PM »
I believe we're about to have a very interesting evening and overnight. I'm still thinking tomorrow could be a bit more severe than forecasted so far.

Offline Thundersnow

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Memorial Day Weekend Storms
« Reply #36 on: Today at 01:35:38 PM »
New watch likely coming, to affect NW TN...

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0865.html

Quote
Thunderstorms will likely
   form along the stalled front, as well as along an outflow boundary
   from morning convection across TN.


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« Last Edit: Today at 01:37:26 PM by Thundersnow »

Offline JayCee

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Re: Memorial Day Weekend Storms
« Reply #37 on: Today at 01:40:46 PM »
"For many years I was self-appointed inspector of snowstorms and rainstorms, and did my duty faithfully, though I never received one cent for it.." 
Henry David Thoreau

Offline StormNine

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Re: Memorial Day Weekend Storms
« Reply #38 on: Today at 01:50:14 PM »
I believe we're about to have a very interesting evening and overnight. I'm still thinking tomorrow could be a bit more severe than forecasted so far.

If we get the active MCS activity this evening-overnight that we could get then tomorrow's threat will probably be to our south and east (SE TN, N MS, N AL area) along the outflow from the overnight stuff. Tomorrow's threat is 100% dependent on the events of tonight.

Online Vols1

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Re: Memorial Day Weekend Storms
« Reply #39 on: Today at 01:54:14 PM »
Oh ok. So no line as the front passes through tomorrow evening?

 

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