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Author Topic: The 2017 Sprinter/Spring Thread  (Read 103929 times)

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Offline JayCee

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Re: The 2017 Sprinter/Spring Thread
« Reply #465 on: May 02, 2017, 02:29:26 PM »
I was about to help my parents in KY get their garden in the ground this weekend, but now I think we might need to wait another week or two.  Frost is a good possibility up there next week as this deep trough hangs around the eastern U.S.  I'd say even parts of Tennessee could see a late season frost.   After a record warm April, the turn of the calendar to May brings the complete opposite.  I'm not complaining--not after 90's last weekend.   

"For many years I was self-appointed inspector of snowstorms and rainstorms, and did my duty faithfully, though I never received one cent for it.." 
Henry David Thoreau

Offline bugalou

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Re: The 2017 Sprinter/Spring Thread
« Reply #466 on: May 02, 2017, 04:42:16 PM »


To put that gradient into perspective, the distance between Stratton, CO and Hays, KS is 178 miles. The distance between Memphis and Nashville is 197 miles. It's conceivable if you superimposed that over us that parts of Nash and Memphis would have gotten no snow while Jackson, TN got 20-30".

Post Merge: May 01, 2017, 06:42:42 PM
Yeah, the MS should be fine. Not the same situation in AR, though. Some rivers will be topping 2011. The Black River at Pocahontas is forecast to be 1 foot over its record crest in 2011 by mid-week. Evacuations have begun.

I wonder if I-40 will end up closed again.  In 2011 I went on a trip to Jasper, AR to visit the Buffalo river.  Both getting there and coming back was full of detours because of flooding.  I-40 was closed on the way back and we had to take a 40 mile detour south, and even then just beat the crest of the White River.

Anyone interested in a flood chase?  It is quite a site to see if its at and beyond 2011 levels!
« Last Edit: May 02, 2017, 04:49:14 PM by bugalou »

Offline JayCee

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Re: The 2017 Sprinter/Spring Thread
« Reply #467 on: May 02, 2017, 06:42:41 PM »
Per MRX:

Quote
After the cold front passes Thursday night much colder air will rush
into the area, with enough moisture for precipitation through
Saturday night and possibly some light, wet snow at times in the
higher elevations--mainly Friday night through Saturday night.  At
this time, looks too warm for measurable snow, but will keep
watching. After this area clears out it will be turning drier, but
the eastern trough looks like it will be slow to move out, so we
will stay with below average temps through the end of the forecast
next Tuesday.
"For many years I was self-appointed inspector of snowstorms and rainstorms, and did my duty faithfully, though I never received one cent for it.." 
Henry David Thoreau

Offline memphishogfan

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Re: The 2017 Sprinter/Spring Thread
« Reply #468 on: May 02, 2017, 10:35:43 PM »
It appears one of the new levees out in place on the Black River in Arkansas has failed.  Water has stopped rising at Pocahontas but now all that water is headed south towards Walnut Ridge.

Offline JayCee

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Re: The 2017 Sprinter/Spring Thread
« Reply #469 on: May 03, 2017, 06:56:09 AM »
Next system seems to be another wind machine.  High Wind Watch, and Wind Advisories already going up for the mountains and even valley locations in East TN.  Long duration wind event will probably keep local utilities busy yet again with power outages starting tomorrow. This weather is more like March than May.   

Post Merge: May 03, 2017, 07:07:54 AM
From MRX this morning. . .

Quote
The focus will then shift to the much cooler temperatures forecast
late in the week and over the weekend. The cold front will race to
the east Thursday night into Friday morning as strong cold air
advection, for early May, wraps around the system. The closed low
will be directly overhead on Friday. For the forecast, expect
numerous light showers across the region and widespread cloud cover.
Some raw model guidance indicates that highs will not make it to 50.
For now, have not gone that cold but did bump down highs by 2-3
degrees from the previous forecast. The column will be cold enough
for some snow showers late Friday night into early Saturday morning
for locations above 4500-5000 feet.
No accumulations are expected at
this time. The upper level low will begin to lift out on Saturday.
« Last Edit: May 03, 2017, 07:07:54 AM by JayCee, Reason: Merged DoublePost »
"For many years I was self-appointed inspector of snowstorms and rainstorms, and did my duty faithfully, though I never received one cent for it.." 
Henry David Thoreau

Offline cgauxknox

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Re: The 2017 Sprinter/Spring Thread
« Reply #470 on: May 03, 2017, 07:20:29 AM »
The way things are looking for Friday I may get one last fire in the wood stove.
 ::cold::
I'm also hoping I don't have any serious tree damage from all this wind; days and days of it have to take a toll on things.

Offline JayCee

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Re: The 2017 Sprinter/Spring Thread
« Reply #471 on: May 03, 2017, 08:14:29 AM »
The way things are looking for Friday I may get one last fire in the wood stove.
 ::cold::
I'm also hoping I don't have any serious tree damage from all this wind; days and days of it have to take a toll on things.

Agreed.  Long duration wind events that last for days can do as much damage as a severe thunderstorm.  I have debris all over my yard from the last one, so I hope this next one isn't as rough. At least the ground isn't as saturated as last week.
"For many years I was self-appointed inspector of snowstorms and rainstorms, and did my duty faithfully, though I never received one cent for it.." 
Henry David Thoreau

Offline Coach B

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Re: The 2017 Sprinter/Spring Thread
« Reply #472 on: May 03, 2017, 08:43:38 AM »
The way things are looking for Friday I may get one last fire in the wood stove.
 ::cold::
Told my family the same thing last night. I need to get a little wood around to the back porch today before the rain sets in. Even with the warm April I've only had to turn on the downstairs AC one time.

Offline harlequin

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Re: The 2017 Sprinter/Spring Thread
« Reply #473 on: May 03, 2017, 09:26:16 AM »
Levee officially failed.

Quote
...FLASH FLOOD EMERGENCY FOR EAST POCAHONTAS!...

The National Weather Service in Memphis has extended the

* Flash Flood Warning for...
  A Levee Failure in...
  Southeastern Randolph County in eastern Arkansas...
  Central Lawrence County in eastern Arkansas...

* Until 645 AM CDT Thursday

* At 828 AM CDT, emergency manager reported a levee on the Black
  River at Pocahontas failed causing flash flooding of immediately
  surrounding areas.

  This is a FLASH FLOOD EMERGENCY for East Pocahontas!. SEEK HIGHER
GROUND NOW!

* Locations impacted include...
  Pocahontas, Walnut Ridge, Hoxie, Black Rock, College City, Portia,
  O`kean, Powhatan, Giles Spur, Shannon, Dicus, Fender, Elnora,
  Manson and Lesterville.

Offline Crockett

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Re: The 2017 Sprinter/Spring Thread
« Reply #474 on: May 03, 2017, 11:32:45 AM »
Not expecting to get out of the upper 40s here Friday with lots of rain...then mid 50s with gusting north winds on Saturday. Lovely weather.

We set a record high last weekend, looking at the potential for record lows this weekend. Gotta love Tennessee weather, I guess.  ;D

Offline OBstorm89

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Re: The 2017 Sprinter/Spring Thread
« Reply #475 on: May 03, 2017, 08:23:53 PM »
Not sure what to say about the behavior of the rain around the immediate Memphis metro today. Very strange

Offline JayCee

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Re: The 2017 Sprinter/Spring Thread
« Reply #476 on: May 04, 2017, 04:33:34 AM »
The huge storm complex along the Gulf has cut off most of the moisture with this first batch of rain.  Just drizzle moving into East TN this morning.

Post Merge: May 04, 2017, 07:20:23 AM
Strong southerly winds creating a mountain wave event this morning in the Smokies.  The last time I saw a radar like this was when the fires were happening, and it was picking up the smoke plumes.  Not sure what the radar is seeing, but hopefully it's not smoke this time. 

« Last Edit: May 04, 2017, 07:20:49 AM by JayCee »
"For many years I was self-appointed inspector of snowstorms and rainstorms, and did my duty faithfully, though I never received one cent for it.." 
Henry David Thoreau

Offline Mister2011

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Re: The 2017 Sprinter/Spring Thread
« Reply #477 on: May 04, 2017, 01:19:27 PM »
Lots of trees down in Knoxville and Sevierville. People are trapped on the spur between Gatlinburg and Pigeon Forge due to trees/power lines. Large brush fire out of control in Pitman Center, 30+ acres and growing rapidly...

Post Merge: May 04, 2017, 01:23:30 PM
Jayce, just noticed your post.... I was in Gatlinburg the day it burned  and I am involved in the burned out structure inspections, so this is really shaking my crew up
« Last Edit: May 04, 2017, 01:23:30 PM by Mister2011, Reason: Merged DoublePost »

Offline JayCee

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Re: The 2017 Sprinter/Spring Thread
« Reply #478 on: May 04, 2017, 04:42:37 PM »
Lots of trees down in Knoxville and Sevierville. People are trapped on the spur between Gatlinburg and Pigeon Forge due to trees/power lines. Large brush fire out of control in Pitman Center, 30+ acres and growing rapidly...

Post Merge: May 04, 2017, 01:23:30 PM
Jayce, just noticed your post.... I was in Gatlinburg the day it burned  and I am involved in the burned out structure inspections, so this is really shaking my crew up

Just heard that the fire up there is only 10% contained.  Hopefully, the rain will finally move in this evening and help put this out.  Downsloping has kept the rain at bay most of the day.  I'm sure after what happened in November, everyone's nerves are on edge with another fire spreading in the area.   Hope you all stay safe.

Strangely enough, even though I'm very close to the foothills, I only have a decent breeze blowing occasionally.  This whole mountain wave weather is very interesting, as only about 10 miles from my house the wind was howling earlier today.  I would like to know why that is. 
"For many years I was self-appointed inspector of snowstorms and rainstorms, and did my duty faithfully, though I never received one cent for it.." 
Henry David Thoreau

Offline BRUCE

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Re: The 2017 Sprinter/Spring Thread
« Reply #479 on: May 05, 2017, 06:41:03 AM »
Is this December, or may? >:D
Come on severe wx season...

 

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