* User

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.

Login with username, password and session length

Advertisement

* Current Watches/Warnings/Advisories for TN - Click the (+) Icon to the Right to see them ------>


Author Topic: Hurricane Matthew  (Read 19815 times)

0 Members and 1 Guest are viewing this topic.

Offline Volduff64

  • Sunny
  • *
  • Posts: 18
  • Location: Nashville
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 19
Hurricane Matthew
« on: September 27, 2016, 12:31:43 PM »
 ::wow::

Offline cgauxknox

  • Severe Thunderstorm
  • ****
  • Posts: 336
  • Location: Knoxville
  • KM4UMK
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 173
Re: Hurricane Matthew
« Reply #1 on: September 27, 2016, 12:51:03 PM »
The weather sites are talking about it being Tropical Storm Matthew by sometime tomorrow (Wednesday) and then the long-term possibilities of it coming up the Southeast coast.  The Northeast hit seems to hinge on how quickly a front passes through there, if the storm makes a northward turn at the right time to impact the east coast of the U.S. at all.  It will be several more days before forecasts can really get a handle on what's going to happen but seeing it discussed on Weather.com and Accuweather so early seems unusual.  This will be worth tracking to see what develops. 

Offline CT_Yankee

  • Derecho
  • ******
  • Posts: 1,027
  • Location: Marshall Co (3 MI W Chapel Hill)
    • My Current Conditions
  • Twitter:
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 214
Re: Hurricane Matthew
« Reply #2 on: September 27, 2016, 12:53:36 PM »
Models have been consistent with a hurricane but everywhere with the placement.  Gulf coast is still not completely ruled out either from my understanding.
Aaron
@MarshSevereWx (#tspotter for Marshall Co)
<a href="http://www.wunderground.com/weatherstation/WXDailyHistory.asp?ID=KTNCHAPE3">My Current Conditions</a>

Offline cgauxknox

  • Severe Thunderstorm
  • ****
  • Posts: 336
  • Location: Knoxville
  • KM4UMK
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 173
Re: Hurricane Matthew
« Reply #3 on: September 28, 2016, 12:19:38 PM »
The system is now officially TS Matthew and is forecast to be a Cat 2 Hurricane near Jamaica by Monday morning.  Much of the discussion I'm seeing, which is of course all uncertain this far out, is projecting a likely U.S. strike with the east coast, either south or north, apparently more likely than the Gulf.  ::coffee:: 

Offline WXHD

  • Derecho
  • ******
  • Posts: 1,047
  • Location: Nashville, 37221
  • NWS Storm Spotter. Fan of Extreme Weather.
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 252
Re: Hurricane Matthew
« Reply #4 on: September 28, 2016, 01:08:54 PM »
Carribian and Gulf waters are at near record warm temps. This storm could rapidly intensify. Anyone along the Gulf or Atlantic coast should start planning and preparing now.
Earth transforms sunlight's visible light energy into infrared light energy, which leaves Earth slowly because it is absorbed by greenhouse gases. When people produce greenhouse gases, energy leaves Earth even more slowly raising Earth's temperature. http://www.howglobalwarmingworks.org/

Offline cgauxknox

  • Severe Thunderstorm
  • ****
  • Posts: 336
  • Location: Knoxville
  • KM4UMK
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 173
Re: Hurricane Matthew
« Reply #5 on: September 29, 2016, 11:25:40 AM »
The latest NHC report shows Matthew with sustained winds of 70mph and it is predicted to be a hurricane by tomorrow morning if not tonight.  The current forecast track (which of course can change) takes it across Cuba Mon-Tues, at around 100mph winds before interacting with land then crossing Cuba and coming out still at 90mph.  The models are still all over the place about the potential for a U.S. landfall and probably won't have a good idea about what will happen for several days. 

Post Merge: September 29, 2016, 01:29:56 PM
Well, that was fast.  Matthew is officially a hurricane. 

Post Merge: September 30, 2016, 09:17:45 AM
Up to a Cat 2 this morning and predicted to be a Cat 3 by tomorrow morning  ::wow:: .  The outlook is for it to weaken back to a Cat 2 as it interacts with land crossing Cuba, but this feels like it has the potential to blow back up into a monster storm by the middle of next week (that last point is just my opinion).  If Matthew makes a U.S. landfall it may be a very damaging storm.
« Last Edit: September 30, 2016, 09:18:38 AM by cgauxknox »

Offline Crockett

  • Administrator
  • Tornado
  • ******
  • Posts: 2,956
  • Location: Oneida, TN
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 39
Re: Hurricane Matthew
« Reply #6 on: September 30, 2016, 10:50:03 AM »
It's been over 4,000 days since a major hurricane has hit the U.S., which is pretty incredible.

Offline Charles L.

  • Global Moderator
  • Tornado
  • ******
  • Posts: 8,657
  • Location: Macon County, TN
  • Twitter:
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 1624
Re: Hurricane Matthew
« Reply #7 on: September 30, 2016, 12:23:16 PM »
This hurricane looks very powerful. The mb pressure on it continues to steadily drop and the winds will continue to go up. I hope this goes out to sea and doesn't hit anyone in the states. I really hope everyone in Jamaica and Cuba are preparing!
Mobile chat link:

http://tennesseewx.com/arrowchat/public/mobile/

SumnerSevereWx and MaconSevereWx #tSpotter Coordinator

Offline wfrogge

  • Severe Thunderstorm
  • ****
  • Posts: 262
  • Location: Oakland
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 30
Re: Hurricane Matthew
« Reply #8 on: September 30, 2016, 02:38:12 PM »
I will be in Orlando next week. If unlucky with the weather ill just chase in a rental car :)

Offline Charles L.

  • Global Moderator
  • Tornado
  • ******
  • Posts: 8,657
  • Location: Macon County, TN
  • Twitter:
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 1624
Re: Hurricane Matthew
« Reply #9 on: September 30, 2016, 05:52:57 PM »
This thing rapidly grew into a monster today. It is currently a Cat 4 and I would not be shocked to see it hit Cat 5 status either later this evening or during the overnight. What a storm.
Mobile chat link:

http://tennesseewx.com/arrowchat/public/mobile/

SumnerSevereWx and MaconSevereWx #tSpotter Coordinator

Offline WXRocker

  • TN SVR WX AWARENESS FEST: JAN 1 - DEC. 31
  • Global Moderator
  • Derecho
  • ******
  • Posts: 2,150
  • Location: Watonga, Oklahoma
  • Your TNWX Den Mother
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 197
Re: Hurricane Matthew
« Reply #10 on: September 30, 2016, 06:14:58 PM »
 ::wow:: ::drowning::

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at4+shtml/173801.shtml?5day#contents

Jamaica and Haiti - oh wow. :(  If possible, I'd suggest getting a flight OUT of there.

Cuba and the Bahamas look to be in the impact zone too.  I HOPE Florida is missed.   ::wow::
« Last Edit: September 30, 2016, 06:19:37 PM by WXRocker »
Quote from: ERIC
We specialize in @$$hattery.

Welcome to Tennessee, where every day's weather is an exercise in bipolar disorder.

Forum Guidelines

Offline cgauxknox

  • Severe Thunderstorm
  • ****
  • Posts: 336
  • Location: Knoxville
  • KM4UMK
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 173
Re: Hurricane Matthew
« Reply #11 on: September 30, 2016, 07:26:46 PM »
Earlier today, for whatever reason, I remembered going to bed in 2005 with basically no news and waking up to Katrina as a Cat 5.  Matthew is looking scary.  I hope people take it seriously and prepare.

Offline Hank W

  • Thunderstorm
  • ***
  • Posts: 117
  • Location: Germantown, TN
  • Romans 8:28
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 437
Re: Hurricane Matthew
« Reply #12 on: September 30, 2016, 10:37:57 PM »
This thing rapidly grew into a monster today. It is currently a Cat 4 and I would not be shocked to see it hit Cat 5 status either later this evening or during the overnight. What a storm.
And boom. We have our first Category 5 storm in the Atlantic in 9 years.

Offline cgauxknox

  • Severe Thunderstorm
  • ****
  • Posts: 336
  • Location: Knoxville
  • KM4UMK
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 173
Re: Hurricane Matthew
« Reply #13 on: October 01, 2016, 06:47:44 AM »
Last night's GFS run took Matthew right up the East coast of the U.S.  Most of the other models all went East, so we'll have to watch to see if the GFS was an outlier or if the other models come into alignment with it.  If the GFS verifies next week could be disastrous for the U.S. 

Offline BRUCE

  • Tornado
  • ******
  • Posts: 5,357
  • Location: Spring creek
  • home of three ef4 tornadoes since 1999
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 774
Re: Hurricane Matthew
« Reply #14 on: October 01, 2016, 07:35:38 AM »
may be time to change the title to this thread... major hurricane matthew...least for now.
Come on severe wx season...

 

Advertisement