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Author Topic: Fall 2016  (Read 94392 times)

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Offline Clay

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Re: Fall 2016
« Reply #180 on: November 04, 2016, 05:30:40 PM »
Clay do you see this dry trend ongoing ?


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Short term, yes. Long term, no. Although, I wouldn't bank on above normal precip either. Extremely below normal arctic sea combined with above normal Siberian snow cover leads me to believe the PV will be weakened (thus displaced further south). This could lead to an active storm track in December. However, the wildcard is this +PDO/La Nina combo. It is exceptionally rare, as they are actually inversely correlated which is another reason this pattern isn't sustainable.
« Last Edit: November 04, 2016, 05:35:57 PM by Clay »

Offline WXHD

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Re: Fall 2016
« Reply #181 on: November 05, 2016, 07:53:50 AM »
39F in Nashville this morning.
Earth transforms sunlight's visible light energy into infrared light energy, which leaves Earth slowly because it is absorbed by greenhouse gases. When people produce greenhouse gases, energy leaves Earth even more slowly – raising Earth's temperature. http://www.howglobalwarmingworks.org/

Offline BRUCE

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Re: Fall 2016
« Reply #182 on: November 06, 2016, 08:35:40 AM »
Well well well. This is a little early for fantasy land storms. Maybe a sign of things to come. (Attachment Link) (Attachment Link)   (Attachment Link)
wonder if we could get a nice little shift to the nw... ::pondering::
Come on severe wx season...

Offline Dyersburg Weather

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Re: Fall 2016
« Reply #183 on: November 06, 2016, 08:42:19 AM »
Well well well. It is a little early for fantasy land storms. Maybe a sign of things to come. [ Guests cannot view attachments ] [ Guests cannot view attachments ]

Offline Eric

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Re: Fall 2016
« Reply #184 on: November 06, 2016, 04:53:19 PM »
Well well well. It is a little early for fantasy land storms. Maybe a sign of things to come. (Attachment Link) (Attachment Link)

Holy WTF, Batman.....
#tSpotter Coordinator for Rutherford and Montgomery Cos. (@MontCoSevereWx and @RuthSevereWx)

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Offline BRUCE

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Re: Fall 2016
« Reply #185 on: November 06, 2016, 05:37:27 PM »
this forum would be going apes if it were in January and the long range on todays 12z euro were to take place...

Post Merge: November 06, 2016, 05:39:08 PM
http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/ECMWF0.5_12z/f240.gif
« Last Edit: November 06, 2016, 05:39:08 PM by BRUCE, Reason: Merged DoublePost »
Come on severe wx season...

Offline WXHD

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Re: Fall 2016
« Reply #186 on: November 07, 2016, 07:03:40 AM »
The real voodoo is that we need the rain.
Earth transforms sunlight's visible light energy into infrared light energy, which leaves Earth slowly because it is absorbed by greenhouse gases. When people produce greenhouse gases, energy leaves Earth even more slowly – raising Earth's temperature. http://www.howglobalwarmingworks.org/

Offline StormNine

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Re: Fall 2016
« Reply #187 on: November 07, 2016, 12:17:26 PM »
We may finally get our first widespread frost/even freeze for many of us on Saturday night and Sunday morning.

Offline Dyersburg Weather

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Re: Fall 2016
« Reply #188 on: November 07, 2016, 12:45:37 PM »
Do not look at todays 12z GFS if you want any relief. Virtually no rain thru the whole run.  ::bangingheadintowall::

Offline BRUCE

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Re: Fall 2016
« Reply #189 on: November 09, 2016, 02:38:47 PM »
Holy **** at the euro in la la land...to bad it will change
Come on severe wx season...

Offline Coach B

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Re: Fall 2016
« Reply #190 on: November 10, 2016, 07:33:46 AM »
Looks like a big chunk of west TN and the majority of middle TN made it to freezing this morning. The UHI was in full effect, however, as Nashville and Memphis hung near/above 40. I had 31/32 all the way into work and a killing/widespread frost at the house. Looks like the extended growing season is done.
« Last Edit: November 10, 2016, 07:50:43 AM by Coach B »

Offline Thundersnow

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Re: Fall 2016
« Reply #191 on: November 10, 2016, 07:48:25 AM »
Saw my first frost of the year this morning.  The grass in the area already appears to be in winter dormancy because of the drought, other than where people have been watering their yards.

Offline CT_Yankee

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Re: Fall 2016
« Reply #192 on: November 10, 2016, 08:20:52 AM »
Made it down to 27.1° here.  ::cold::
Aaron
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Offline BRUCE

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Re: Fall 2016
« Reply #193 on: November 11, 2016, 02:00:40 PM »
Big system late next week appears .... But best dynamics go north of us ... But still looks like nice squall line possible at least  with thunder finally ... Plus rain be a bonus also...
Come on severe wx season...

Offline Curt

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Re: Fall 2016
« Reply #194 on: November 14, 2016, 09:05:14 AM »
i agree totally... I know it's a bad situation in. Places east of us... But you know the weather is boring when lead weather and about the only weather is fires and smoke .. And agree. Relief looks unlikely as this weekend a threat appears to be getting more questionable ... Pattern going forward looks very Niña like. Starting to see the analog 98 99 getting tossed around. Especially if this Niña can become stronger ... We had a decent sleet event early that year January...  And after that we all know the rest of the story ....

The Nina of 98-99 will be twice as strong as this one. Not even close IMO.

 

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