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Author Topic: All eyes on the Mississippi and her Tributaries for River Flooding  (Read 1760 times)

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Offline bugalou

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Here we go again folks, the Mississippi is on the rise once again just a few years after the 2nd highest crests ever recorded in 2011 of 48.03'.  This time we should be well short and are currently forecasted to crest at 43.5' on Jan 9th.  That said, that would be the 4th highest crest ever recorded, so it is still quite significant.  There is still some uncertainty too and additional rises could still occur.  There is also significant flooding occurring with several tributaries for the MS river too that are threatening land and life.

Current flood warning text for the gauge at Memphis:

Quote
ARC035-MSC033-TNC157-301816-
/O.EXT.KMEG.FL.W.0112.160103T0311Z-000000T0000Z/
/MEMT1.2.ER.160103T0311Z.160109T1200Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
1216 PM CST TUE DEC 29 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Mississippi River at Memphis
* from Saturday January 02 until further notice.
* At 12 PM Tuesday the stage was 27.5 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 34.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by Saturday January 02 and
  continue to rise to near 43.5 feet by Saturday January 09.
  Additional rises are possible thereafter.
* At 44.0 feet...In Memphis, Highway 51 is beginning to flood at
  North Watkins Street. Dewitt Spain Airport starts to flood and
  North Second Street is flooded north of the Wolf River at Stiles
  Drive. Nonconnah Creek has backed up to Lamar Avenue. Houses and
  streets just east of Cypress Creek and north of West Mitchell Road
  are flooding. Apartments on Mud Island between I-40 and A. W.
  Willis Avenue are beginning to flood. Coast Guard facilities are
  getting water on them.

Offline Curt

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Re: All eyes on the Mississippi and her Tributaries for River Flooding
« Reply #1 on: December 29, 2015, 09:15:24 PM »
The odds of a top 5 crest within 5 years is extremely rare. Although 2 of the 10 were within 10 years.

Offline harlequin

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Re: All eyes on the Mississippi and her Tributaries for River Flooding
« Reply #2 on: December 30, 2015, 08:51:49 AM »
Per a few Facebook posts that I've seen, people who live behind the MS River levee in Tunica County are well aware and are already making their preparations to leave.

Offline bugalou

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Re: All eyes on the Mississippi and her Tributaries for River Flooding
« Reply #3 on: December 30, 2015, 09:32:16 AM »
Per a few Facebook posts that I've seen, people who live behind the MS River levee in Tunica County are well aware and are already making their preparations to leave.

Of course my card in this game is the Casinos since I am not even down there anymore (Though I still work for the same parent company I did in 2011).  They are safe up to around 46' so no concerns at the moment.  If things were to get worse though, I would likely have to come down to assist the IT team there.

Offline Thundersnow

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Re: All eyes on the Mississippi and her Tributaries for River Flooding
« Reply #4 on: December 30, 2015, 12:49:57 PM »
Some pretty serious flooding is occurring in MO (near St. Louis):

http://www.nytimes.com/2015/12/31/us/missouri-flooding-st-louis-mississippi.html?_r=0

http://fox2now.com/2015/12/30/home-floats-down-meramec-river/

Of course, that will only add to the volume of the MS River downstream...
« Last Edit: December 30, 2015, 12:57:46 PM by Thundersnow »

Offline dwagner88

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Re: All eyes on the Mississippi and her Tributaries for River Flooding
« Reply #5 on: December 30, 2015, 03:54:01 PM »
What are the odds of this sort of flooding occurring in winter instead of spring? I'm thinking this is unprecedented. Really happy to see the last of the rain finally move out this afternoon. TVA has managed to hold the TN river below flood stage in Chattanooga. Extremely impressive, but the flood damage from the Chickamauga creek watersheds (both south and north) is pretty extensive. All of the expensive earth moving equipment at the Bass Pro construction site went underwater, as did many expensive RV's down the street at Camping World.
Winter 2009-10 Snowfall: 11.5 in. :)
Winter 2010-11 Snowfall: 15.5 in. :)
Winter 2011-12: Trace
Winter 2012-2013: 0.25 in.
Winter 2013-14: 10.6 (9.5 on 2/12)
Winter 2014-2015:
2/18 - 0.25" snow
2/20 - 1.5" snow, 0.15" ZR
2/24 - 0.5" snow
2/25 - 8" snow :)

Offline StormNine

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Re: All eyes on the Mississippi and her Tributaries for River Flooding
« Reply #6 on: December 30, 2015, 04:52:14 PM »
US 51 in Wickliffe, KY will shut down at midnight tonight.  That adds 80 miles to the commute from far western KY to southeastern Missouri

Offline Dyersburg Weather

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Re: All eyes on the Mississippi and her Tributaries for River Flooding
« Reply #7 on: December 30, 2015, 11:41:44 PM »
What are the odds of this sort of flooding occurring in winter instead of spring? I'm thinking this is unprecedented. Really happy to see the last of the rain finally move out this afternoon. TVA has managed to hold the TN river below flood stage in Chattanooga. Extremely impressive, but the flood damage from the Chickamauga creek watersheds (both south and north) is pretty extensive. All of the expensive earth moving equipment at the Bass Pro construction site went underwater, as did many expensive RV's down the street at Camping World.

The predicted crest in Caruthersville of 46.0 will not only tie 2nd highest it is for sure out of the norm for winter. It got 46.0 in the great flood of 1937. Only one other time has it ever broke the 40.0 ft mark in winter. It got 40.7 in 1950. All other historic crest were in spring.

Quote
(1) 47.61 ft on 05/07/2011
(2) 46.00 ft on 02/05/1937
(3) 42.40 ft on 04/03/1973
(4) 42.40 ft on 04/04/1975
(5) 42.21 ft on 03/11/1997 (P)
(6) 41.99 ft on 05/28/1995
(7) 41.60 ft on 05/21/2002
(8 ) 41.56 ft on 04/19/1979
(9) 41.40 ft on 05/18/1961
(10) 41.33 ft on 05/09/1983
(11) 41.00 ft on 05/17/1984
(12) 40.84 ft on 03/27/2008
(13) 40.75 ft on 03/12/1945
(14) 40.70 ft on 01/18/1950

Offline Thundersnow

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Re: All eyes on the Mississippi and her Tributaries for River Flooding
« Reply #8 on: December 31, 2015, 12:30:47 AM »
Wow...

https://www.facebook.com/news4stlouis/videos/10156383650375603/


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Offline Thundersnow

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Re: All eyes on the Mississippi and her Tributaries for River Flooding
« Reply #9 on: December 31, 2015, 07:36:18 AM »
More aerials:

http://www.nbcnews.com/video/aerials-captures-historic-flooding-in-missouri-593554499513


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Offline NashRugger

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Re: All eyes on the Mississippi and her Tributaries for River Flooding
« Reply #10 on: January 01, 2016, 03:26:46 PM »
Mississippi River at Cape Giradeau just passed the 1993 crest of 48.49ft in the last hour, now at 48.57ft and still rising. It should crest around 50ft tomorrow night.

 

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