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Author Topic: Category 5 Hurricane Patricia (Eastern Pacific)  (Read 3533 times)

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Offline StormNine

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Category 5 Hurricane Patricia (Eastern Pacific)
« on: October 23, 2015, 07:27:54 AM »
History is being made in the East Pacific with a CAT 5 and 880mb Hurricane Patricia.  Landfall expected near or just south of Puerto Vallarta, Mexico.  Patricia will also contribute some moisture to the situation in TX and surrounding areas this weekend.   
« Last Edit: October 23, 2015, 08:51:54 AM by Thundersnow »

Offline Thundersnow

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Re: Hurricane Patricia
« Reply #1 on: October 23, 2015, 08:49:56 AM »
I split StormNine's post to a separate topic devoted to Hurricane Patricia since this storm is truly history and deserves its own topic.

Maximum sustained winds of 200 mph with gusts to 245 mph.

It's being described as the most powerful hurricane on record in the Western Hemisphere.  ::wow::


Offline Thundersnow

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Re: Category 5 Hurricane Patricia (Eastern Pacific)
« Reply #2 on: October 23, 2015, 09:47:13 AM »
Monstrous...


Offline StormNine

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Re: Category 5 Hurricane Patricia (Eastern Pacific)
« Reply #3 on: October 23, 2015, 11:03:37 AM »
By doing a little bit of research there are major poverty issues in parts of Puerto Vallarta.  That is not a good thing to have when you have a major/historic storm heading in your vicinity.   One bit of not so bad news is that the worst of the winds(your 150-160+MPH stuff) is in a very small area, and hopefully that will pass through some of the more rural areas between Puerto Vallarta and Manzanillo.  The surge and heavy rain impacts will be major impacts, and wind/rain a major impact heading inland into Mexico and also will contribute more moisture for the heavy rain event in the south central USA.   

Offline Thundersnow

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Re: Category 5 Hurricane Patricia (Eastern Pacific)
« Reply #4 on: October 23, 2015, 12:14:30 PM »
I was thinking storm surge might be mitigated by a quick rise in elevation on the mountainous western side of Mexico.  But, looking at terrain maps for areas such as around Puerta Vallarta, there's a river valley that empties into the ocean there, so a surge could go up into areas like that if on the front right quadrant of the eye, depending on where it makes landfall.  Anything right on the coast would be at risk for surge in any case, although maybe not like we see on the Gulf coast, as underlying ocean floor slope off the coast has a lot to do with it as well.

The winds, alone, from this thing around the eye will be catastrophic.

200 MPH - that's equivalent to high-end EF4 to EF5 winds.  Imagine the damage you see from THAT in a small area where a violent tornado hits... except spread out over miles and miles...

We can only hope that it loses some strength before landfall.
« Last Edit: October 23, 2015, 12:24:13 PM by Thundersnow »

Offline Thundersnow

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Re: Category 5 Hurricane Patricia (Eastern Pacific)
« Reply #5 on: October 23, 2015, 12:37:33 PM »
Looking at the satellite loop, it looks like Patricia has increased forward speed... pretty much heading in the direction of Manzanillo.  That's an important port city and resort area.  We can hope that evacuations are well underway.

Offline KG4GKE

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Re: Category 5 Hurricane Patricia (Eastern Pacific)
« Reply #6 on: October 23, 2015, 12:53:31 PM »
http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/goes/blog/wp-content/uploads/2015/10/151023_0920utc_suomi_npp_viirs_ir_Hurricane_Patricia.png

Via Scott Bachmeier on Twitter ‏@CIMSS_Satellite 
2h2 hours ago
Suomi NPP VIIRS Infrared image of Hurricane #Patricia at 0920 UTC

Offline Thundersnow

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Re: Category 5 Hurricane Patricia (Eastern Pacific)
« Reply #7 on: October 23, 2015, 02:11:22 PM »
http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/goes/blog/wp-content/uploads/2015/10/151023_0920utc_suomi_npp_viirs_ir_Hurricane_Patricia.png

Via Scott Bachmeier on Twitter ‏@CIMSS_Satellite 
2h2 hours ago
Suomi NPP VIIRS Infrared image of Hurricane #Patricia at 0920 UTC


That's just sick.

Offline Thundersnow

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Re: Category 5 Hurricane Patricia (Eastern Pacific)
« Reply #8 on: October 23, 2015, 02:13:17 PM »
The eye looks a little off center within the CDO now.  I wonder if drier air might be affecting it on the western side.

Offline StormNine

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Re: Category 5 Hurricane Patricia (Eastern Pacific)
« Reply #9 on: October 23, 2015, 02:20:07 PM »
http://www.lamanzanilla.info/web_cam.html

Here is a webcam that was posted at TW in the area that should be on or near the landfall point. 

Offline dwagner88

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Re: Category 5 Hurricane Patricia (Eastern Pacific)
« Reply #10 on: October 23, 2015, 02:42:02 PM »
Hurricane hunter found a 204 kt flight level wind (234 mph). Extrapolates to 184 kts at the surface (211 mph). If anything it may be strengthening slightly. The eye is tightening up even more. Absolutely unreal how quickly this thing blew up.
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Offline WXHD

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Re: Category 5 Hurricane Patricia (Eastern Pacific)
« Reply #11 on: October 23, 2015, 04:27:15 PM »
The power involved is awesome. Impact will be significant and the result will be long lasting. Texas looks to see some terrible fall out as well.
Earth transforms sunlight's visible light energy into infrared light energy, which leaves Earth slowly because it is absorbed by greenhouse gases. When people produce greenhouse gases, energy leaves Earth even more slowly raising Earth's temperature. http://www.howglobalwarmingworks.org/

Offline Thundersnow

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Re: Category 5 Hurricane Patricia (Eastern Pacific)
« Reply #12 on: October 23, 2015, 04:34:47 PM »
The power involved is awesome. Impact will be significant and the result will be long lasting. Texas looks to see some terrible fall out as well.

We may even be affected by the remnants with rainfall into next week.

But, yes, flooding is a concern in Texas.

Offline Thundersnow

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Re: Category 5 Hurricane Patricia (Eastern Pacific)
« Reply #13 on: October 23, 2015, 04:57:42 PM »
Eye wall looks like she's getting close to making landfall, but it's been looking more ragged the last few frames.

Offline WXHD

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Re: Category 5 Hurricane Patricia (Eastern Pacific)
« Reply #14 on: October 23, 2015, 05:21:31 PM »
Why hasn't someone posted the "mother of god " super troopers meme? Y'all are slippen.
Earth transforms sunlight's visible light energy into infrared light energy, which leaves Earth slowly because it is absorbed by greenhouse gases. When people produce greenhouse gases, energy leaves Earth even more slowly raising Earth's temperature. http://www.howglobalwarmingworks.org/

 

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