Sept. 25 SLGT Risk, ArkLaTex/West TN

[bugalou]

developing that spread eagle look

You mean screaming eagle?  Got your mind on something?   

[Eric]

Continue discussion of this event here.

[Eric]

Upper level rotation definitely increasing.....

[Charles L.]

Upper level rotation definitely increasing.....

Agreed, still not enough for a Tor Warning (IMO)...but definite increase for sure.

Has a very mean look to it too.

[bugalou]

lol... best first post ever.
Looks like Wynne is getting pounding on by some hail at very least.

[Kevin]

WMC and WHBQ here aren't even crawling the watch/warning. 

[bugalou]

TOR for our cell.

Edit:
Very weak low level rotation... I dunno...

[Kevin]

TOR for our cell.

Edit:
Very weak low level rotation... I dunno...

There's something there. Not sure it is/will produce...but I see the reasoning for the TOR in this case...its enough I think...

[beneficii]

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
  CENTRAL CRITTENDEN COUNTY IN EASTERN ARKANSAS...
  SOUTHEASTERN CROSS COUNTY IN EASTERN ARKANSAS...

* UNTIL 445 PM CDT

* AT 406 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR VILLAGE CREEK STATE
  PARK...MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO EARLE...
  MARION...PARKIN...WEST MEMPHIS AND VILLAGE CREEK STATE PARK.

 THIS WARNING ALSO INCLUDES AREAS NEAR BRANDYWINE LAKE AND WAPANOCCA
  LAKE.

[bugalou]

There's something there. Not sure it is/will produce...but I see the reasoning for the TOR in this case...its enough I think...

Just got the latest frame and there is a bit of a couplet on it.  Probably worth a TOR at this point.  +1 MEG.

[Kevin]

At the least...could be a big big hail producer. Still may be too much inflow disruption for a tornado to drop.  Needless to say...this may impact NW Shelby if it keeps on track.

[bugalou]

Lots of low end discreets  popping to the SE.  Let see how they do moving into a more richly sheared environment.

[mempho]

Lots of low end discreets  popping to the SE.  Let see how they do moving into a more richly sheared environment.

Should be MDT risk, perhaps?  I'm getting a significant threat vibe here.

[Charles L.]

Should be MDT risk, perhaps?  I'm getting a significant threat vibe here.

No, SLGT is good...we won't see supercell after supercell go tornadic. We aren't in that rich of an environment.

[mempho]

No, SLGT is good...we won't see supercell after supercell go tornadic. We aren't in that rich of an environment.

Good...just my first gut reaction after looking at things for about 10 minutes.