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Author Topic: Feb 9 Winter Storm  (Read 95967 times)

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Offline Tom23

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Re: **SWM** Feb 9-10 Storm Threat
« Reply #30 on: February 01, 2011, 03:05:47 PM »
This system looks very similar to the last inverted trough system we had. Except with more moisture and colder air. The gfs is not showing precip ahead of the front, its aost entirely behind ot. I'll take it.

When was our last inverted trough system?? The one we had before the last one?

Offline BALLPARK

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Re: **SWM** Feb 9-10 Storm Threat
« Reply #31 on: February 01, 2011, 03:10:28 PM »
I think the timing is perfect for an Artic Blast to come through with 20 inches of Snow fields in the Midwest. I think them temps our very realistic with whats happing currently. I don't know if we will see 7 inches of Snow or 1 inch.  Feb is typically a month of extremes.

Offline jmundie

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Re: **SWM** Feb 9-10 Storm Threat
« Reply #32 on: February 01, 2011, 03:10:44 PM »
When was our last inverted trough system?? The one we had before the last one?

The one that came in on a thursday night

Offline Nashville_wx

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Re: **SWM** Feb 9-10 Storm Threat
« Reply #33 on: February 01, 2011, 03:40:09 PM »
This post could have been handled better already. Come on fellas. Single digit temp are VERY possible as well as 2-3" given the moisture is behind the front and with -10C H85 coming in fast its a quick changeover. I know this forum is for discussion but everyone assumes too much and its impossible to even keep up anymore. When the time comes I will chime in otherwise enjoy going back and forth.  ::candle::


Offline jmundie

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Re: **SWM** Feb 9-10 Storm Threat
« Reply #34 on: February 01, 2011, 03:48:22 PM »
This post could have been handled better already. Come on fellas. Single digit temp are VERY possible as well as 2-3" given the moisture is behind the front and with -10C H85 coming in fast its a quick changeover. I know this forum is for discussion but everyone assumes too much and its impossible to even keep up anymore. When the time comes I will chime in otherwise enjoy going back and forth.  ::candle::

Yep.

Offline keithinala

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Re: **SWM** Feb 9-10 Storm Threat
« Reply #35 on: February 01, 2011, 03:50:09 PM »
From OHX:
Quote
LATER IN THE EXTENDED ON MONDAY...A POTENTIALLY POWERFUL ARCTIC
FRONT APPROACHES. THIS WILL CREATE A CHANCE OF RAIN ON MONDAY. UPPER
ENERGY ENHANCEMENT IN THE COLD SECTOR BEHIND THE FRONT LOOKS
AMPLIFIED AT THIS TIME. THUS...WILL INCLUDE A DESCENT CHANCE FOR
SNOW FOR MONDAY NIGHT. MODELS THEN ARE TRYING TO CONVERGE ON VERY
COLD TEMPS FOR THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK BEHIND THAT ARCTIC FRONT.
POTENTIALLY...SOME OF THE COLDEST AIR...IF NOT THE COLDEST...OF THE
SEASON.
Snow in the South is wonderful. It has a kind of magic and mystery that it has nowhere else. And the reason for this is that it comes to people in the South not as the grim, unyielding tenant of Winter's keep, but as a strange and wild visitor from the secret North. -THOMAS WOLFE

Offline Curt

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Re: **SWM** Feb 9-10 Storm Threat
« Reply #36 on: February 01, 2011, 04:24:21 PM »
Several days to monitor and could go either way. But for any doubters, January 16-17th, 1985 featured a clipper with 2-4 here, and 6 in Nashville as temps dropped from 50 to -4 in less than 24 hours. The snow came behind the front and with quite a fury.

http://docs.lib.noaa.gov/rescue/dwm/1985/19850114-19850120.djvu

Offline Thundersnow

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Re: **SWM** Feb 9-10 Storm Threat
« Reply #37 on: February 01, 2011, 04:25:44 PM »
Yep

Offline ams30721us

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Re: **SWM** Feb 9-10 Storm Threat
« Reply #38 on: February 01, 2011, 04:32:45 PM »
This will be 80% Rain.....20% Snow in most places at best unless you are in higher elevations

Offline jmundie

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Re: **SWM** Feb 9-10 Storm Threat
« Reply #39 on: February 01, 2011, 04:33:26 PM »
Several days to monitor and could go either way. But for any doubters, January 16-17th, 1985 featured a clipper with 2-4 here, and 6 in Nashville as temps dropped from 50 to -4 in less than 24 hours. The snow came behind the front and with quite a fury.

http://docs.lib.noaa.gov/rescue/dwm/1985/19850114-19850120.djvu

You have video from Action News 5 for that storm. That was the one with the really dry powdery snow that was blowing all over the place.

Offline Kevin

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Re: **SWM** Feb 9-10 Storm Threat
« Reply #40 on: February 01, 2011, 04:33:36 PM »
This will be 80% Rain.....20% Snow in most places at best unless you are in higher elevations

You sound awfully confident for an event many days away...this event may not even happen for all we know...
Kevin Terry
Nowcaster/Social Media Intern
MemphisWeather.Net

Offline jmundie

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Re: **SWM** Feb 9-10 Storm Threat
« Reply #41 on: February 01, 2011, 04:34:33 PM »
This will be 80% Rain.....20% Snow in most places at best unless you are in higher elevations

The models are saying the opposite. OHX is saying the opposite. The lift is on the other side of the system. Just like the one two weeks ago.


Offline Curt

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Re: **SWM** Feb 9-10 Storm Threat
« Reply #42 on: February 01, 2011, 04:34:57 PM »
You sound awfully confident for an event many days away...this event may not even happen for all we know...

Ditto...way too early to surmise anything with confidence at this point.

Offline Kevin

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Re: **SWM** Feb 9-10 Storm Threat
« Reply #43 on: February 01, 2011, 04:36:08 PM »
You have video from Action News 5 for that storm. That was the one with the really dry powdery snow that was blowing all over the place.

Here it is! Technically from WREG...

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Drr7-oCz-Vo
Kevin Terry
Nowcaster/Social Media Intern
MemphisWeather.Net

Offline Curt

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Re: **SWM** Feb 9-10 Storm Threat
« Reply #44 on: February 01, 2011, 04:41:44 PM »

 

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