Miller A: Jan 25-26

[Cyclonicjunkie]

 

And the parade of threats continue, I have seen enough to warrant a legitamate wintry wx threat.

[keithinala]

Yep, I agree. This is more interesting that tomorrow night.

[maryvillereb2003]

looks more and more juicy every run...

[keithinala]

JMA, just for fun, is a little slower, but oh what potential

[Cyclonicjunkie]

Globals are popping off shortwaves right and left, clippers, sliders, riders. I wish this was set in stone but with all thats going on I wouldnt think any model has the right solution yet. But this definately has the potential to top the big dog

[shooting70]

And the parade of threats continue, I have seen enough to warrant a legitamate wintry wx threat.

Cyclonic,do you by chance have the map for 6 hrs before the one you have displayed?

[Cyclonicjunkie]

Cyclonic,do you by chance have the map for 6 hrs before the one you have displayed?

sure

[keithinala]

GFS has it going down to 6 at Nashville and 9 at Huntsville on Saturday the 29th, so things are going to stay fun through the end of the month and beyond.

[vanster67]

I have been hearing that the JMA is a good model as far as track is concerned, just try not to pay attention to anything else but track.  I know it over plays moisture, but is it good on the track as far as guidance?

[Eric]

Globals are popping off shortwaves right and left, clippers, sliders, riders. I wish this was set in stone but with all thats going on I wouldnt think any model has the right solution yet. But this definately has the potential to top the big dog

Sad thing is, with the models being as bad as they have been, we won't have a verifiable solution until we're 24 hours out.

BTW, 12z Euro says blah...at least from what I can see on the E-Wall.  

[shooting70]

Cyclonic,thats a 2-4 inch snow for the area if nothing changes if im reading it right.Is that about the same as the regular gfs models i always see on NCEP?

[keithinala]

Sad thing is, with the models being as bad as they have been, we won't have a verifiable solution until we're 24 hours out.

BTW, 12z Euro says blah...at least from what I can see on the E-Wall.  

Actually it had .37 QPF for Nashville and .39 for Huntsville. Very unblah.

[Cyclonicjunkie]

Is that about the same as the regular gfs models i always see on NCEP?

Its the same, just better graphics.

[shooting70]

Actually it had .37 QPF for Nashville and .39 for Huntsville. Very unblah.

Keith, what was the qpf for memphis?

[shooting70]

Its the same, just better graphics.

Ok, thanks.i personally never have seen that map before until a week ago.