Dec 17-19 Miller A Pre Christmas Special

[Cyclonicjunkie]

Somebody had to do it and I didnt want to clog up the Late DEC Teleconnection thread.





(Miller A) a few days before Christmas, FWIW the ECM has showed this Idea a few times also.

[dwagner88]

Now THIS is something I can get excited about. No more of this NW flow crap. I've never gotten more than an inch from it in 22 years. A decent snow for me basically has to come from the gulf. Bring it on!

[Cyclonicjunkie]

6ZGFS hung on to this storm Idea, Euro seems a little further off shore, but I dont have paid graphics so i'm not sure, but consider me interested with this one, especially with a NW trend

[Cyclonicjunkie]

12z Canadian




12z JMA


The potential seems to be there for middle and east TN

[John1122]

As I posted in the other thread, after a few out to sea runs the GFS seems to be working back towards being a snow threat, at least for East Tennessee, on the latest run. We will see if this is the start of NW trend. Hope it takes a classic Miller A track.

[Cyclonicjunkie]

As I posted in the other thread, after a few out to sea runs the GFS seems to be working back towards being a snow threat, at least for East Tennessee, on the latest run. We will see if this is the start of NW trend. Hope it takes a classic Miller A track.

It seems that models are trying to agree on this scenario, IDK if thts good or bad a week out

[tennessee storm09]

As I posted in the other thread, after a few out to sea runs the GFS seems to be working back towards being a snow threat, at least for East Tennessee, on the latest run. We will see if this is the start of NW trend. Hope it takes a classic Miller A track.

yeah me too. miller a is good for west tn. if its a true miller a.

[Woodvegas]

12/14 0Z GFS shows a Miller A on Saturday 12/18. We need the low to be a little stronger and temps a little colder. East TN may do real well (about 4 inches of snow progged for Knoxville). Of course a lot can change between now and then.

[Curt]

12/14 0Z GFS shows a Miller A on Saturday 12/18. We need the low to be a little stronger and temps a little colder. East TN may do real well (about 4 inches of snow progged for Knoxville). Of course a lot can change between now and then.

Light snow with minor accums likely along and north the I-40 corridor on Saturday. Man really need that upper level support to phase a bit earlier.

[jmundie]

We do appear to be getting a bit of NW trend.

How this current system is handled will be the key to the next system

[Cyclonicjunkie]

Man really need that upper level support to phase a bit earlier.

Exactly, hate to waste a storm like this without a good phase

[ams30721us]

MODELS CONTINUE TO INDICATE THE DEVELOPMENT OF SECONDARY
WAVES OF LOW PRESSURE ALONG THIS FRONT TOWARD THE WEEKEND...BUT LOW
CONFIDENCE EXISTS WITH THE TIMING OF THESE OR THE SPECIFIC MOVEMENT
OF THE FRONT AT THIS TIME. THE 00Z GFS IS ADVERTISING A SIGNIFICANT
LOW DEVELOPING ALONG THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY AND TRACKING ACROSS
GEORGIA BY SAT. THIS WOULD HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO BRING PERHAPS A
SIGNIFICANT SNOW EVENT TO THE AREA...BUT IS NOT BACKED UP WELL BY
GFS ENSEMBLES OR THE ECMWF. AT THIS TIME...HAVE RETAINED JUST A
SLIGHT CHANCE RAIN/SNOW MIX FOR SAT.

[Tom23]

Sounds like this bears watching, but the models, other than the 0z gfs, doesn't say much will happen. I'm not gonna start paying attention to it until other models come on board

[Stovepipe]

Joe Bastardi over at Accuweather had this to say about the weekend storm on his most recent blog entry:

I expect modeling to consolidate on a healthy storm that will bring snow from the Tennessee Valley to the coastal mid- and north Atlantic states this weekend. A front runner is coming out and that is complicating matters, but the upper pattern over the weekend is favorable for snow fairly far back and the surface pattern, should correct toward it. The UKMET remains the most wound up of all the ideas and I will go over the options on the Big Dog.

[Stovepipe]

Can someone please change the thread title to reflect this weekend's time frame?  The GFS is showing an even bigger threat for "Pre Christmas" that deserves it's own thread.