Christmas Storm 2010

[Curt]

If it snows on Christmas...I will

[Curt]

I will say that that is the first run of the GFS that shows cold all the way through the new year and past. Perhaps we can cash in after all at some point?

[keithinala]

Around the 28th/29th looks like something trying to phase. It just doesn't quite go boom, but it looks like a great setup.

I will say that that is the first run of the GFS that shows cold all the way through the new year and past. Perhaps we can cash in after all at some point?

[Eric]

0z Canuck is on board for something.....

[Tom23]

I mean, I'm not discounting the possibility, but something about Thanksgiving, Christmas and New Years excites the GFS. 

its almost like the people that feed the model the data gets the model in gear for a snow potential, just to get people excited, then takes it away from them and gives the model real data after a short term of joy

[Adam]

its almost like the people that feed the model the data gets the model in gear for a snow potential, just to get people excited, then takes it away from them and gives the model real data after a short term of joy

You mean in other words that the Grinch comes to steal our white chritsmas , I do remember the past few years the GFS is hyped up on holidays.

[Tom23]

You mean in other words that the Grinch comes to steal our white chritsmas , I do remember the past few years the GFS is hyped up on holidays.

Yes Sir!! And on New Year's its the lack of eggnog monster, and on Thanksgiving its Adam the Turkey that takes it away!!!

[Adam]

Yeah now back on topic, i remember last year that the GFS first hinted at a good snow for Tennessee then slowly trended to a lakes cutter. But then about a day out it trended back to some snow showers on christmas day and whatta ya know, it snowed here on christams.

[Tom23]

Yeah now back on topic, i remember last year that the GFS first hinted at a good snow for Tennessee then slowly trended to a lakes cutter. But then about a day out it trended back to some snow showers on christmas day and whatta ya know, it snowed here on christams.

Sounds like what happens most of the time when we get a decent snow

[keithinala]

that's been true in my experiences here in extreme north Alabama. The ones we get usually don't really show up good until within a couple of days. The models may have shown something like that way back, but get away from the idea until it gets really close.
Frank Strait says time is running out...better get something in the next couple of weeks
http://www.accuweather.com/blogs/strait/story/43177/no-big-storm-but-maybe-a-little-snow.asp

Sounds like what happens most of the time when we get a decent snow

[keithinala]

Interesting at the bottom:

PACIFIC SHORTWAVE ENERGY COMING INTO THE WEST COAST AROUND DAY 6 THURSDAY WULL MOVE EASTWARD INDUCING CO CYCLOGENESIS WITH ASFC LOW MOVING OUT INTO THE PLAINS REACHING THE CENTRAL MS TO TN VALLEY DAY 7 THURSDAY

http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/pmdepd.html

[toastido]

Interesting at the bottom:

Yeah, I saw that on a model projection someone posted in another thread before and made a note of it.  Could get interesting, for sure.

[Cyclonicjunkie]

ULL FTW 

[Cyclonicjunkie]

I think a thread should be started for this clipper/ Miller B threat that the GFS has been advertising on Christmas, but I am tired of starting threads and will let someone else do it if they want.
Otherwise I will continue to post forecasts and model data in this thread I guess .

18z GFS Christmas

[Stovepipe]

I think a thread should be started for this clipper