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Author Topic: SVR Potential 3/10 - 3/12  (Read 5947 times)

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Offline WFayetteTN

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Re: SVR Potential 3/10 - 3/12
« Reply #105 on: March 10, 2010, 07:58:11 PM »
Quote from: toastido on March 10, 2010, 07:51:59 PM
WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
   500

50,000 ft... That's impressive for this time of year.
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Quote from: Thundersnow
Bummer... I'll miss the familiar urgency of the all caps regardless of the real urgency.
A TRANQUIL WEATHER PATTERN BRINGING FAIR SKIES WILL DOMINATE THE REGION.

Offline Eric

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Re: SVR Potential 3/10 - 3/12
« Reply #106 on: March 10, 2010, 08:00:20 PM »
Quote from: WFayetteTN on March 10, 2010, 07:58:11 PM
50,000 ft... That's impressive for this time of year.


::wow::
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Mississippi State B.S. Geosciences/Operational Meteorology student

Nowcaster for Rutherford Co., Tennessee (@RuthSevereWx)

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Offline ajatwister

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Re: SVR Potential 3/10 - 3/12
« Reply #107 on: March 10, 2010, 08:03:02 PM »
can we expect severe weather in middle tennessee??
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Offline tennessee storm09

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Re: SVR Potential 3/10 - 3/12
« Reply #108 on: March 10, 2010, 08:04:01 PM »
if things hold together, yeah early morning for middle tn.
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Offline Eric

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Re: SVR Potential 3/10 - 3/12
« Reply #109 on: March 10, 2010, 08:04:45 PM »
Quote from: ajatwister on March 10, 2010, 08:03:02 PM
can we expect severe weather in middle tennessee??

It's possible...but not until morning at the earliest, but not to the scale of what's going on in AR.
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Mississippi State B.S. Geosciences/Operational Meteorology student

Nowcaster for Rutherford Co., Tennessee (@RuthSevereWx)

KJ4IXE

"I'm not going to get my head shot off in some far away land because you don't habla, comprende?"

"Sargeant, you get that contraband stogie out of my face before I shove it so far up your *** you'll have to set fire to your nose to light it."
                             - GSgt. Highway, "Heartbreak Ridge"

Offline tennessee storm09

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Re: SVR Potential 3/10 - 3/12
« Reply #110 on: March 10, 2010, 08:09:04 PM »
this thing is hold together pretty well longer than i thought. hasnt got into a linear formation just yet either, i think us in west tn can expect some action later
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Offline toastido

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Re: SVR Potential 3/10 - 3/12
« Reply #111 on: March 10, 2010, 08:14:29 PM »
For reference, the Craven/Brooks Significant Severe progs from the 15z run of the SREF have been quite accurate thus far...

6pm CST:



what it's saying for 9pm CST (which aligns with the SPCs watch issuances):


And then, by Midnight... *poof*:

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Don't knock the weather. If it didn't change once in a while, nine out of ten people couldn't start a conversation.
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Offline toastido

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Re: SVR Potential 3/10 - 3/12
« Reply #112 on: March 10, 2010, 08:16:09 PM »
THIS, however, concerns me for MEG:



 ::wow::
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Don't knock the weather. If it didn't change once in a while, nine out of ten people couldn't start a conversation.
Kin Hubbard
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Offline tennessee storm09

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Re: SVR Potential 3/10 - 3/12
« Reply #113 on: March 10, 2010, 08:17:45 PM »
yeah toastido, the tornado threat has seem to actually increased somewhat for the meg area forecast.
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Offline WFayetteTN

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Re: SVR Potential 3/10 - 3/12
« Reply #114 on: March 10, 2010, 08:18:59 PM »
Quote from: toastido on March 10, 2010, 08:16:09 PM
THIS, however, concerns me for MEG:



 ::wow::

tell me what im looking at
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Quote from: Thundersnow
Bummer... I'll miss the familiar urgency of the all caps regardless of the real urgency.
A TRANQUIL WEATHER PATTERN BRINGING FAIR SKIES WILL DOMINATE THE REGION.

Offline toastido

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Re: SVR Potential 3/10 - 3/12
« Reply #115 on: March 10, 2010, 08:21:43 PM »
Quote from: WFayetteTN on March 10, 2010, 08:18:59 PM
tell me what im looking at

Basically the probability that all the ingredients will come together for a significant tornado (EF2 or greater).  Anything higher than 5-10%, IMO, is cause for great concern.
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Don't knock the weather. If it didn't change once in a while, nine out of ten people couldn't start a conversation.
Kin Hubbard
(1868 - 1930)

Offline Eric

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Re: SVR Potential 3/10 - 3/12
« Reply #116 on: March 10, 2010, 08:24:06 PM »
Quote from: toastido on March 10, 2010, 08:16:09 PM
THIS, however, concerns me for MEG:



 ::wow::

Holy crapzilla!  Concerning indeed......
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Mississippi State B.S. Geosciences/Operational Meteorology student

Nowcaster for Rutherford Co., Tennessee (@RuthSevereWx)

KJ4IXE

"I'm not going to get my head shot off in some far away land because you don't habla, comprende?"

"Sargeant, you get that contraband stogie out of my face before I shove it so far up your *** you'll have to set fire to your nose to light it."
                             - GSgt. Highway, "Heartbreak Ridge"

Offline tennessee storm09

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Re: SVR Potential 3/10 - 3/12
« Reply #117 on: March 10, 2010, 08:25:01 PM »
yeah i think that has my concerned too
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Offline Ron_Jarrell

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Re: SVR Potential 3/10 - 3/12
« Reply #118 on: March 10, 2010, 08:25:13 PM »
Wow. Impressive sigtors.
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Offline toastido

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Re: SVR Potential 3/10 - 3/12
« Reply #119 on: March 10, 2010, 08:27:57 PM »
Quote from: Ron_Jarrell on March 10, 2010, 08:25:13 PM
Wow. Impressive sigtors.

No Joke... Here's the current analysis of the area for sigtor numbers..



(not static, will change as meso analysis changes)
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Don't knock the weather. If it didn't change once in a while, nine out of ten people couldn't start a conversation.
Kin Hubbard
(1868 - 1930)
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