Early January Snow Event & Cold Weather

[Adam]

Above freezing temps today...They probably won't play a big factor, but the snow would make a slightly better impact to come in after sunset and when the temp drops below 32.

Yea your right sorry, i was losing my mind for a second.

[ams30721us]

Special Weather Statement
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1246 PM CST MON JAN 11 2010

ILZ081>094-INZ085>088-KYZ007-010-014-015-018>020-112100-
FRANKLIN-HAMILTON-WHITE-JACKSON-WILLIAMSON-SALINE-GALLATIN-
UNION IL-JOHNSON-POPE-HARDIN-ALEXANDER-PULASKI-MASSAC-POSEY-
VANDERBURGH-WARRICK-SPENCER-LIVINGSTON-CRITTENDEN-UNION KY-
WEBSTER-HENDERSON-DAVIESS-MCLEAN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WEST FRANKFORT...MCLEANSBORO...CARMI...
CARBONDALE...HERRIN...HARRISBURG...SHAWNEETOWN...JONESBORO...
VIENNA...GOLCONDA...ELIZABETHTOWN...CAIRO...MOUND CITY...
METROPOLIS...POSEYVILLE...EVANSVILLE...BOONVILLE...ROCKPORT...
SMITHLAND...MARION...MORGANFIELD...DIXON...HENDERSON...
OWENSBORO...CALHOUN
1246 PM CST MON JAN 11 2010

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

AT 1245 PM...A NARROW BAND OF MODERATE SNOW EXTENDED FROM WEST
FRANKFORT TO NORRIS CITY ILLINOIS...TO MOUNT VERNON INDIANA TO
HENDERSON KENTUCKY TO ROCKPORT INDIANA. THIS BAND OF MODERATE
SNOW WILL PRODUCE VISIBILITIES OF A MILE OR LESS...AND ALSO PRODUCE
SOME LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS. THIS WILL ALSO CAUSE SOME MINOR
ACCUMULATIONS ON THE ROADWAYS...WHICH MAY MAKE THEM SLICK.
FORTUNATELY...THIS ACTIVITY WILL BE SHORT LIVED AND MOVE THROUGH
RATHER QUICKLY. THIS BAND OF SNOW WILL MOVE TO THE SOUTHEAST AND
IMPACT LOCATIONS IN SOUTHERN ILLINOIS...SOUTHWEST INDIANA AND FAR
NORTHERN KENTUCKY. BY 130 PM...THIS BAND OF SNOW SHOULD REACH A
LINE FROM NEAR MARION...HARRISBURG...AND SHAWNEETOWN ILLINOIS...TO
MORGANFIELD AND OWENSBORO KENTUCKY.

$$

[ams30721us]

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
350 PM EST MON JAN 11 2010

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA TONIGHT AND EXIT THE CWA
TUESDAY. WELL DEFINED SHORT WAVE ASSOCIATED WITH POTENTIAL FOR
SCATTERED LIGHT SHOWERS ACROSS THE FAR N COUNTIES AND SCATTERED
FLURRIES FARTHER S...MAYBE AS FAR AS CENTRAL GA. WAS LIBERAL WITH
INDICATING SCATTERED FLURRIES AS FAR S AS I DID JUST SO THERE ARE NO
SURPRISES. A CHANCE OF FLURRIES WILL BE IN THE FORECAST TO START
FOR TUESDAY MORNING FOR PARTS OF N GA AS ANY COLD STRATO CU PASSING
BY COULD SPIT SNOW. ANY SNOW SHOWERS OVER THE FAR N WILL NOT LAST
LONG ENOUGH TO ACCUMULATE ANY SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS. REST OF THE
PERIOD WILL BE DRY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS TO THE AREA WEDNESDAY.

[Charles L.]

Snow is already knocking on Bowling Green's door. Expecting it at the TN/KY line by 4 pm. Getting here a little sooner then forecasted...

LMK has updated the zone forecast areas and have increased Scottsville's chances to 50 and 40%.

Most snow should be out of the SCK region by 8 pm.

[Adam]

Is anymore snow gonna develop further west?

[Tom23]

I guess that a dusting to an inch is possible for a general amount. Considering that its not supposed to get above freezing tommorrow, under mostly cloudy skies, and with any remaining ice on back roads (which by talking to people, there is); I believe under these conditions, this will replenish some of my snow that has melted from sun and temps.

[ams30721us]

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
302 PM CST MON JAN 11 2010

KYZ008-011>013-016-017-021-022-112315-
MARSHALL-LYON-TRIGG-CALDWELL-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-MUHLENBERG-TODD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BENTON...EDDYVILLE...CADIZ...
PRINCETON...MADISONVILLE...HOPKINSVILLE...GREENVILLE...ELKTON
302 PM CST MON JAN 11 2010

.NOW...
A NARROW BAND OF LIGHT SNOW AND FLURRIES WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE
ACROSS PARTS OF WEST KENTUCKY...MAINLY EAST OF THE LAKES AND ALONG
AND SOUTH OF THE WEST KENTUCKY PARKWAY. WHILE MOST OF THE SNOWFALL
SHOULD BE LIGHT...THERE MAY BE A SHORT BURST OF MORE MODERATE
SNOWFALL...RESULTING IN VISIBILITIES LESS THAN A MILE AND SOME
MINOR ACCUMULATIONS. MOST OF THE SNOWFALL WILL EXIT THE AREA
WITHIN THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO

[Eric]

Adjusted thread title.

[ams30721us]

  Thanks Eric!

[ams30721us]

I am tracking a snow Squall Line here...haha

[Eric]

I am tracking a snow Squall Line here...haha

Are we for sure that it's reaching the ground or if it's even frozen?  Surface obs out of south central KY reveal overcast skies with surface temps between 35-38F and 25-30F Tds.  I guess there could be a little evap. cooling with the heavier pockets of precip.... .

EDIT:  While perusing old AFDs, I found one from Louisville and found this nugget:

...WHILE
LOW-LEVEL AIR NEAR THE SURFACE IS ABOVE FREEZING...THERE IS ENOUGH
COLD AIR ALOFT TO KEEP THE PRECIPITATION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LINE
AS SNOW....

I guess this is one of those rare instances where the surface is above freezing and some folks get snow.

[ams30721us]

report from earlier from someone in west Ky:

The heaviest snow of the winter in Owensboro, Kentucky is occuring as i speak(2:08cst), and has been falling for about 30-45 minutes now. Already got about a half inch of snow already, the roads are turning white again. Luckily its just a narrow band of snow, if not, there would have been some significant accumulations if this would have set in for 3 hours.

and NWS:
SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
302 PM CST MON JAN 11 2010

KYZ008-011>013-016-017-021-022-112315-
MARSHALL-LYON-TRIGG-CALDWELL-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-MUHLENBERG-TODD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BENTON...EDDYVILLE...CADIZ...
PRINCETON...MADISONVILLE...HOPKINSVILLE...GREENVILLE...ELKTON
302 PM CST MON JAN 11 2010

.NOW...
A NARROW BAND OF LIGHT SNOW AND FLURRIES WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE
ACROSS PARTS OF WEST KENTUCKY...MAINLY EAST OF THE LAKES AND ALONG
AND SOUTH OF THE WEST KENTUCKY PARKWAY. WHILE MOST OF THE SNOWFALL
SHOULD BE LIGHT...THERE MAY BE A SHORT BURST OF MORE MODERATE
SNOWFALL...RESULTING IN VISIBILITIES LESS THAN A MILE AND SOME
MINOR ACCUMULATIONS. MOST OF THE SNOWFALL WILL EXIT THE AREA
WITHIN THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO

[Charles L.]

We have a temp. of 35.3F with a DP at 21.5. So I assume we will see some evaporation cooling and it should drop us below freezing.

[Nashville_wx]

 

[Eric]

That's Pulitzer Prize-winning analysis, right there.