Snow for Christmas? Joe Bastardi like it

[Clay]

I was curious what PWS stood for... I think "Personal Weather Station," though I'm not sure.

But, "Particularly Wintry Situation" would certainly fit right now. 

N00b. 

[Thundersnow]

For those of you following the severe aspect of this system, parts the delta/lower MS river valley area of S LA & MS have been upgraded to moderate risk:



There's a 15% hatched tornado risk for the Mod area.

[Thundersnow]

Just for an interesting read, here's the warning text from up in Minnesoootah.

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
1225 PM CST THU DEC 24 2009

...DANGEROUS WINTER STORM THROUGH CHRISTMAS NIGHT...

.THE COMBINATION OF POWERFUL EAST WINDS AND HEAVY FALLING AND
BLOWING SNOW...WILL RESULT IN DANGEROUS BLIZZARD CONDITIONS ACROSS
AREAS ADJACENT TO THE SOUTHWEST SHORES OF LAKE SUPERIOR STARTING
THIS EVENING...AND CONTINUING THROUGH CHRISTMAS. THE MAIN IMPACTS
OF BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WILL AFFECT AREAS AROUND DULUTH...
SUPERIOR... TWO HARBORS AND HIGHWAYS 61... 53... 2 AND INTERSTATE
35 IN THE CLOQUET... DULUTH AND SUPERIOR AREAS.

THIS MAJOR WINTER STORM WILL CONTINUE TO STRENGTHEN AS IT LIFTS
NORTHWARD THROUGH THE CENTRAL UNITED STATES TODAY THROUGH
CHRISTMAS NIGHT. THIS STORM WILL CAUSE MAJOR TRAVEL DELAYS AND
BRING DANGEROUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS THROUGHOUT THE CHRISTMAS HOLIDAY
PERIOD.

[Thundersnow]

Winter Storm Warning goes up for parts of AR:

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1222 PM CST THU DEC 24 2009

.A POWERFUL STORM SYSTEM ALOFT WILL TRACK FROM SOUTHWEST THROUGH
CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST ARKANSAS THROUGH TONIGHT. NORTH AND WEST OF
THIS TRACK...COLDER AIR WILL CHANGE RAIN TO SNOW...WITH
ACCUMULATIONS LIKELY NORTH AND WEST OF HOT SPRINGS...CONWAY AND
BATESVILLE.

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM
CST FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LITTLE ROCK HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WARNING FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS
EVENING TO 6 AM CST FRIDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN
EFFECT.

* RAIN WILL MIX WITH THEN CHANGE TO SNOW THIS EVENING. SNOW WILL
  BE HEAVY AT TIMES THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS CHRISTMAS DAY.
  SNOW WILL TAPER OFF TO FLURRIES BY DAWN.

* TWO TO FIVE INCHES OF SNOW ARE EXPECTED. THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF
  NEWTON COUNTY COULD RECEIVE HALF A FOOT OF SNOW.

* ROADS WILL BECOME SLICK AND HAZARDOUS...ESPECIALLY BRIDGES AND
  OVERPASSES AS TEMPERATURES DIP BELOW FREEZING.

* WINDY CONDITIONS WILL CAUSE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW...WHICH
  WILL GREATLY REDUCE VISIBILITIES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MOTORISTS ARE ADVISED TO USE EXTREME CAUTION LATER THIS EVENING
AND OVERNIGHT AS WINTRY PRECIPITATION DEVELOPS. SLOW DOWN IN AREAS
THAT HAVE SNOW AND ICE COVERED ROADS...AND WHERE VISIBILITIES ARE
RESTRICTED DUE TO SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW.

[Thundersnow]

Text out of Tulsa, OK:

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1050 AM CST THU DEC 24 2009

OKZ054-059-064-250100-
/O.CAN.KTSA.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-091225T1200Z/
/O.NEW.KTSA.BZ.W.0001.091224T1650Z-091225T1200Z/
OSAGE-PAWNEE-CREEK-
1050 AM CST THU DEC 24 2009

...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST FRIDAY...
...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A BLIZZARD
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST FRIDAY...

FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

 * IN OKLAHOMA...CREEK...PAWNEE AND OSAGE.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
 * SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN WILL CHANGE TO SNOW BY LATE
   MORNING...WITH HEAVY SNOW AND STRONG GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS EXPECTED
   TO CAUSE WIDESPREAD BLIZZARD CONDITIONS THIS AFTERNOON AND
   EVENING. ALTHOUGH SNOW WILL END DURING THE EVENING...STRONG AND
   GUSTY WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO CAUSE CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND
   DRIFTING SNOW THROUGH THE NIGHT.

 * SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 5 TO 7 INCHES EXPECTED THROUGH THIS
   EVENING...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS OF 8 TO 10 INCHES POSSIBLE.

 * NORTHWEST WINDS WILL GUST TO 45 MPH THROUGH TONIGHT. THE GUSTY
   WINDS WILL LIKELY CONTINUE FOR SEVERAL HOURS AFTER SNOWFALL
   ENDS THIS EVENING.

 * VISIBILITY WILL BE REDUCED TO A QUARTER OF A MILE OR LESS IN
   SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW.

IMPACTS...
 * TRAVEL WILL BECOME TREACHEROUS OR IMPOSSIBLE EVEN ON TREATED
   SURFACES. POWER OUTAGES CAN BE EXPECTED

 * COUNTIES WHERE IT WAS REPORTED THAT ROADS WERE SLICK AND
   HAZARDOUS...PAWNEE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
 * STAY INDOORS UNTIL CONDITIONS IMPROVE. ONLY TRAVEL IF ABSOLUTELY
   NECESSARY.

 * STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...COMMERCIAL RADIO OR TELEVISION FOR THE LATEST
   INFORMATION CONCERNING THIS WEATHER EVENT. ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION
   CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT: WEATHER.GOV/TULSA.

DEFINITION...
 * A BLIZZARD WARNING MEANS HEAVY SNOW WITH STRONG WINDS AND
   EXTREMELY POOR VISIBILITIES IS OCCURRING OR IS EXPECTED.

[Thundersnow]

And, out of Norman, OK:

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
941 AM CST THU DEC 24 2009

OKZ018>020-024>031-039>042-045-046-050-250000-
/O.CAN.KOUN.WS.W.0004.000000T0000Z-091225T0400Z/
/O.COR.KOUN.BZ.W.0002.091224T1541Z-091225T0400Z/
KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA-LINCOLN-GRADY-MCCLAIN-
CLEVELAND-POTTAWATOMIE-SEMINOLE-STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY-PONTOTOC-
JEFFERSON-CARTER-LOVE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...KINGFISHER...GUTHRIE...STILLWATER...
YUKON...EL RENO...MUSTANG...OKLAHOMA CITY...CHANDLER...
CHICKASHA...PURCELL...NORMAN...MOORE...SHAWNEE...SEMINOLE...
DUNCAN...PAULS VALLEY...SULPHUR...ADA...WAURIKA...ARDMORE...
MARIETTA
941 AM CST THU DEC 24 2009

...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CST THIS EVENING...
...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORMAN HAS ISSUED A BLIZZARD
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CST THIS EVENING. THIS
REPLACES THE WINTER STORM WARNING WHICH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* TIMING: ALL OF TODAY AND THIS EVENING

* MAIN IMPACT: HEAVY SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW...LOW VISIBILITY AND
  STRONG WINDS WITH WIND GUSTS OF 45 TO 55 MPH. BLIZZARD CONDITIONS
  AT TIMES. SNOWFALL WILL AVERAGE 4 TO 8 INCHES...BUT SOUTHERN
  OKLAHOMA MAY RECEIVE 8 TO 11 INCHES...GENERALLY BETWEEN LAWTON
  AND PAULS VALLEY.

* OTHER IMPACTS: A PERIOD OF FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET WILL BE
  POSSIBLE ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTH CENTRAL OKLAHOMA AS THE
  PRECIPITATION TRANSITIONS FROM RAIN TO SNOW.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A BLIZZARD WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW WITH STRONG WINDS
AND POOR VISIBILITIES ARE LIKELY. THIS WILL LEAD TO WHITEOUT
CONDITIONS...MAKING TRAVEL EXTREMELY DANGEROUS. DO NOT TRAVEL. IF
YOU MUST...HAVE A WINTER SURVIVAL KIT WITH YOU. IF YOU GET
STRANDED...STAY WITH YOUR VEHICLE.

[Clay]

My Dad is heading to Bentonville, AR for Christmas. Whew, it's gonna be rough over that way.

[Curt]

My Dad is heading to Bentonville, AR for Christmas. Whew, it's gonna be rough over that way.

I think NW AR is gonna get a huige, as in foot, snowstorm. Tough travels indeed. Heck Jonesboro and Memphis may see a dusting to an inch if GFS and NAM are correct.

[mempho]

Full blown blizzard conditions now in OKC....watch the stream guys.  National Guard being mobilized.

[Curt]

Love this shot, and by the way, that ULL is way south:
http://adds.aviationweather.gov/satellite/displaySat.php?region=LIT&isingle=multiple&itype=ir

[Clay]

Another interesting note. BNA is going to bust badly on high temps. I'm at 60.5 and rising. We are beginning to see a few peaks of sun and according to the visible satellite clouds will continue to clear over the next hour or so a a hole in the cloud cover approaches from the SW.

[Thundersnow]

Love this shot, and by the way, that ULL is way south:
http://adds.aviationweather.gov/satellite/displaySat.php?region=LIT&isingle=multiple&itype=ir

That almost looks like an eye-like feature at the center of circulation down in NE TX. 

[Thundersnow]

Another interesting note. BNA is going to bust badly on high temps. I'm at 60.5 and rising.

61.9 here.

[Clay]

That's sun and a SE wind will do. Weren't they forecasting mid 50s?

[Thundersnow]

Here's the eye-like feature I was referring to on infrared: