Winter Weather Potential 3/11-3/12

[a1star93]

If it wasn't so close to spring, this thread would've been 10 pages by now!   

I'm guessing no one is expecting much out of this thing.  I know I'm not.  Too many times have I gotten my hopes up.

[Thundersnow]

I'm guessing no one is expecting much out of this thing.  I know I'm not.  Too many times have I gotten my hopes up.

For Nashville and points south and east from here... there probably isn't a whole lot to hope for anyway. 

Looks like we'll be very near the changeover line as usual.  Clarksville and west from there may get something interesting though.

[servocrow]

Surprising updated AFD from OHX:

AFDOHX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
1053 AM CDT WED MAR 11 2009

.UPDATE...THE COLD FRONT WAS LOCATED TO OUR SOUTHEAST...AND COLD
ADVECTION WAS UNDERWAY ACROSS MIDDLE TN. TEMPERATURES WORDING IN
FORECAST WILL BE TRICKY THROUGH THE REST OF THE DAY...WITH FALLING
TEMPS THIS MORNING...THEN STEADY OR SLIGHT RISE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SHOWERS HAVE BEEN DECREASING...AND CURRENT FORECAST ALREADY
INDICATES A "DIMINISHING" TREND. SKIES WILL REMAIN CLOUDY.

LOOK FOR AT LEAST ONE UPDATE TO REFINE TEMPERATURE TRENDS...OTHER
ELEMENTS LOOK GOOD.

NOT MUCH NEWS YET FOR POSSIBLE WINTER WX THURSDAY. 12Z NAM
CONTINUES TO SHOW POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT WINTER WX IN OUR FAR
NORTH COUNTIES...ESPECIALLY DOVER AND CLARKSVILLE AREAS. GFS
COMING IN NOW...SO JUST STARTING TO SEE OUTPUT. IT WILL BE ANOTHER
TOUGH WINTER WX EVENT FOR FORECASTING WITH QUESTIONABLE PRECIP
AMOUNTS...VARIOUS PRECIP TYPES AND POTENTIALLY SIGNIFICANT
TEMPERATURE DIFFERENCES ACROSS A SMALL AREA.

[mempho]

I just went through the 12z GFS Suface Wetbulb 6hr Precip Overlay and it looks like a boatload of icing for the Memphis area.  I'd like to see the model soundings to see how much is sleet and how much is ZR.  Liquid equivalents appear to be around half an inch, so it might be lights out.

[Mr. William E. Brantley]

WEATHERSTREET. COM One of my Blog Lists Links has Memphis thru Jackson, Tn. getting hammered with  snow again from about 9 a.m.  to about 2 p.m.  on Thursday.  It may hit Nashville  this time as it moves into Kentucky.
just think yesterday Tuesday  I had a Record Hot Day.  Both a Record Warmest Lo and Hi. 63 °  and 82 ° respectfully.
Then  two days later  Snow.  Maybe up to 6 to 10  inches.    

[mempho]

WEATHERSTREET. COM One of my Blog Lists Links has Memphis thru Jackson, Tn. getting hammered with  snow again from about 9 a.m.  to about 2 p.m.  on Thursday.  It may hit Nashville  this time as it moves into Kentucky.
just think yesterday Tuesday  I had a Record Hot Day.  Both a Record Warmest Lo and Hi.  63 °  and 82 ° respectfully.
Then  two days later  Snow.  Maybe up to 6 to 10  inches.    

Do you have a link, William.  By the way, congrats on your foot of snow the other night. 

[Mr. William E. Brantley]

My Forecast Link is : http://mrwilliambrantleysforecast.blogspot.com
To the right you will see My Blog List.
WeatherStreet is the last one at the bottom.
My second Signature Link is also my forecast link.

[WXHD]

I'd like to petition that all people whom have received significant snowfall this winter be removed from the forum! And further be banned from receiving any more snow. 

[Mr. William E. Brantley]

WXHD  NATURE GAVE ME THAT  14 " SNOW ON FEB 28 TH.
I promise you I didn`t ask for it.
And I not asking for tomorrows either.
What I`m wanting is SPRING.

[servocrow]

MEG update:

AFDMEG

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1031 AM CDT WED MAR 11 2009

.DISCUSSION...

CURRENTLY...COLD FRONT HAS PUSHED WELL SOUTH OF THE FORECAST AREA
AND MUCH COLDER AIR IS FILTERING INTO THE REGION. TEMPS HAVE ALREADY
FALLEN INTO THE UPPER 30S ACROSS THE NORTHERN TIER WITH SOME
REPORTS OF SLEET IN PARTS OF NORTHWEST TENNESSEE. FOR THE REST OF
TODAY TEMPS WILL REMAIN STEADY OR SLOWLY FALL AND PRECIPITATION WILL
CONTINUE TO FALL APART ACROSS MOST OF THE MID SOUTH THIS
AFTERNOON. LOOKING AT CURRENT RADAR TRENDS EAST CENTRAL ARKANSAS
STANDS THE BEST CHANCE OF RAIN DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. WILL BE
EVALUATING OVER THE 12Z MODELS OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS FOR
UPDATES TO POTENTIAL WINTER STORM FOR LATE TONIGHT AND THURSDAY
ACROSS MUCH OF THE MID SOUTH.

[StormNine]

I'd like to petition that all people whom have received significant snowfall this winter be removed from the forum! And further be banned from receiving any more snow. 

Does that include those that received sig. ice I had several ice events and only 1 inch of snow. While the ice was pretty there wasn't enough snow for this

[WXHD]

Does that include those that received sig. ice I had several ice events and only 1 inch of snow. While the ice was pretty there wasn't enough snow for this

No, you'll be fine. Unless, you lost power and used a camping stove to cook bacon. If that is the case you should be banished!

[dwagner88]

crazy temp gradient across the state right now. its 64 outside my house. more snow for west tn and it will be 55 and raining for the next four days here  

[bigalpha]

Boy, I'm excited with the prospect of some winter wx here.  I love  .  I could do w/o ice though, after losing my 60' hackberry.

[JJJackson]

12z NAM keeps frozen precip out of Memphis metro.

12z GFS dumps 1/2" of ZR on the metro -- so, that would likely be lights out for some.