Great Snowstorm of 2009 (2/28-3/1)

[OakRidgeWinter]

atlanta a foot? really?

[Thundersnow]

Nothing is set in stone with this system yet.  We're still in play.

And, I seriously doubt Atlanta gets a foot.

Parts of central North Carolina, on the other hand, might...

[dwagner88]

The euro is officially my new best friend. just heard on eastern that it buries east tn, nw al, n ga, and all of nc. certainly not set in stone, but I have to like that trend. maybe the epic fail model (formerly known as the 12z GFS) will see the light. Go euro Go!

EDIT: about 1 inch qpf for most of east tn. deformation band sets up over the plateau and wallops us. I'm trying to temper my utter joy at this because its almost certainly too good to be true

[lyngo]

Folks, it will soon be "nowcast" time.  Upper level lows are notorious for throwing curveballs so take each model for what it's worth.  All will depend on exact track and who gets lucky enough to be under the heavier bands of snow as it rotates through.  My question is how much QPF does this thing spit out?  It will be a fun one to watch over the next 2 days!   

[Heath22]

Folks, it will soon be "nowcast" time.  Upper level lows are notorious for throwing curveballs so take each model for what it's worth.  All will depend on exact track and who gets lucky enough to be under the heavier bands of snow as it rotates through.  My question is how much QPF does this thing spit out?  It will be a fun one to watch over the next 2 days!   

I hope this one has a big curveball. Otherwise we here in Middle will miss out.

[snowdog]

The euro is officially my new best friend. just heard on eastern that it buries east tn, nw al, n ga, and all of nc. certainly not set in stone, but I have to like that trend. maybe the epic fail model (formerly known as the 12z GFS) will see the light. Go euro Go!

EDIT: about 1 inch qpf for most of east tn. deformation band sets up over the plateau and wallops us. I'm trying to temper my utter joy at this because its almost certainly too good to be true

Not to be Debbie Downer, but I'd be very cautious in getting your hopes up.  Temps are going to be a struggle.  As you can see Chatty is warm by a long shot.  Bad thing is the Euro comes in 24 hr increments so you dont really know when your temps look good vs how much moisture is left.  Looks like the ULL goes from Central Ark to Atlanta. 

[dwagner88]

this run of the euro splits the ULL and parks the stronger portion of it DIRECTLY over my head. if that were to verify, the cold air should come with it. but this is an outlier solution (and an odd one at that). I'm excited about this run, but I know the chances of it going down like that are slim. but still . ... 

[StormAlertWX]

The euro is officially my new best friend. just heard on eastern that it buries east tn, nw al, n ga, and all of nc. certainly not set in stone, but I have to like that trend. maybe the epic fail model (formerly known as the 12z GFS) will see the light. Go euro Go!

EDIT: about 1 inch qpf for most of east tn. deformation band sets up over the plateau and wallops us. I'm trying to temper my utter joy at this because its almost certainly too good to be true

 

[Cameron K.]

I have been looking at the high resolution model. It makes a very detailed forecast, which is why it only goes up to 48hrs. Here's a look a simulation reflectivity. This would be all snow I believe.

[Sbeagles]

That would look be good for west and western middle if that were to verify.

[Eric]

I have been looking at the high resolution model. It makes a very detailed forecast, which is why it only goes up to 48hrs. Here's a look a simulation reflectivity. This would be all snow I believe.

Correct.  Surface temps look to be freezing clean down to the TN/AL line.

[Curt]

EURO buries me in East TN. oh please be right 

Gives me almost 1 FOOT.

How do you know it gives you a foot?

[dlinematt]

The Weather Channel shows 3-6" of snow for most of Middle Tennessee. Being as conservative as they are, seems a little premature. I foresee possibly that much east and south of here, but not here. 

[Sbeagles]

The Weather Channel shows 3-6" of snow for most of Middle Tennessee. Being as conservative as they are, seems a little premature. I foresee possibly that much east and south of here, but not here. 

Was just about to say something about the Weather Channels outlook says most of Tennessee could see "several inches." WKRN have been very assertive in their view of the system.

[Eric]

Euro puts down 0.5-1" of liquid precip across N. AL and N. GA. 1" of liquid precip over Eastern TN

Posted on Talkweather.com

You need to quantify your statement.  What times?  What are the temps?  I think I read what you read and instead of using the 10:1 ratio, they were using a 6-8:1 ratio, which given it all falls as snow will be 6-8 inches.  Honestly, the only folks I believe see a foot are the folks in the mountains of NC and SC...not East TN.  Could I be wrong...sure, it's happened before.