Winter Weather Saturday, February 21

[Nashville_wx]

********* Euro shows us getting .375QPF early Sunday morning.We are north of the zero line 00z Sunday, then by 06z 850 is -4c, then -8c by 12z sunday.Surface low tracks from central Alabama to just north of Atlanta. Beautiful setup were this to verify. I have been screaming that there has been potential lately. I would love to make true on that. Even tho it is the Euro its still in the 4+ day range.

[Thundersnow]

Well, that wouldn't be too shabby.

[Nashville_wx]

Well, that wouldn't be too shabby.

Would be awesome. We could end this year close to average.

[Curt]

BUFKIT for KMEM per coolwx.com is about 2 inches of sleet...blah.

[snowdog]

Well this has my attention now.  Not really a true clipper is it?  Looks more like a combo type deal. 

[Curt]

12z EURO is a full fledged gulf low working with some cold air as it comes in...most likely a change to snow or frozen precip. Actually it is a pretty big hit for most of the state. Nice to at least see some consensus for some frozen precip on all of the models almost statewide.


Low track would be a NOLA to Dothan to DC track...meaning a nice winter event for the state IF it pans out. We all know what happened 2 weeks ago, right? 

[Woodvegas]

Wow! The 2/17 12Z Euro is either catching on to something or on crack. As noted above it spins up a low in Georgia and dumps up to 5 inches of snow on TN Saturday evening.

[StormAlertWX]

Snow, Snow, Snow 

[lyngo]

Hopefully, this pans out. i guess I'm still pretty jaded after the last non-event.  If the models still have this by Thursday, I'll jump on the bandwagon.   12z Euro looks quite a bit different than past runs.  Maybe it's picking up on something legit and we'll all be happy campers.  

[Thundersnow]

We all know what happened 2 weeks ago, right? 

Yes, we do.  

That's why I still hold the "believe it when I see it" view.

Interesting possibilities in the models though.

[Franklin SnowKing]

unfortunately HPC isn't jumping on board our snowstorm yet. 12Z CANADIAN/ECMWF RUNS OFFER
A NEW WRINKLE OF DETACHING ENERGY WITHIN THE INITIAL SHRTWV...
WHICH RESULTS IN WEAKENING THE SYSTEM EXPECTED TO AFFECT NEW
ENGLAND BY SUN AND INTRODUCING A SEPARATE MAJOR SYSTEM TRACKING
FROM THE SERN CONUS NEWD SUN-MON.  SO FAR THIS SCENARIO HAS LITTLE
TO NO SUPPORT FROM ENSEMBLES.  TELECONNECTIONS OFFER CONFLICTING
IDEAS... WITH POSITIVE ANOMALIES OVER THE ATLC FAVORING A
MODERATELY AMPLIFIED EAST COAST TROF BUT ERN PAC/WRN NOAM FLOW
FAVORING FLAT FLOW.  GIVEN THE FCST UNCERTAINTY PREFER TO MAINTAIN
A COMPROMISE AMONG THE 00Z ECMWF/GFS/LATEST ENSEMBLE MEANS UNTIL
BETTER CONSENSUS EMERGES.

[Eric]

No offense to anyone, but I think I'll jump on board as the train pulls into the station Friday night.

[Thundersnow]

Probably wise.

[servocrow]

No offense to anyone, but I think I'll jump on board as the train pulls into the station Friday night.

I'll be there when the train starts serving HOT CHOCOLATE!!!

[bigalpha]

Sounds like this is an event that could even bring some snow to Clarksville.  Might not get as much as you folks a little more East of me.