Dangerous Cold This Week

[Snowman]

Welcome back JMundie.

[JayCee]

Lo of 19 this morning (so far).  Time to go to work, so I'll have to monitor my station via the web to see how cold we get.  I'm not usually one of the coldest spots since I live a stone's throw away from Lake Douglas, and it tends to moderate temps a bit.  I usually drive through a heapin' helpin' of steam fog on mornings like this. 

[Charles Loring]

OHX is forecasting my low to be around 2ºF Thursday night with the high only getting to around 20ºF...hope those heaters are working at school and on the buses!

LOU has Scottsville, KY getting to 4ºF with -11º wind chill factor possible. 

EDIT: Nevermind, I read it wrong, they have my temp. being at 0ºF for Thursday night...

[StormAlertWX]

Currently: 15.3 7:00AM  

[JayCee]

This next arctic air mass coming down the tubes is really a historic one.  IF we had a good snow pack on the ground, we would be making/breaking records easily.  I heard yesterday that International Falls set a new record.  If THEY set a new record, then this air mass is from the depths of the arctic circle--literally--it came from where the sun don't shine!        

[Charles Loring]

I know that most people don't like accuweather, but just to add what they have temp. being. They have us getting to -2ºF. OUCH! Snow day anyone?

[servocrow]

Special Weather Statement

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SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
702 AM EST WED JAN 14 2009


702 AM EST WED JAN 14 2009 /602 AM CST WED JAN 14 2009/

...COLD FRONT TONIGHT WILL USHER IN VERY COLD CONDITIONS...

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA TONIGHT.  BEHIND THE
FRONT...A SURGE OF VERY COLD AIR WILL BRING THE COLDEST CONDITIONS OF
THE SEASON SO FAR ACROSS EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...AND
EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA.

TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WILL FALL INTO THE TEENS TO LOW 20S ACROSS
VALLEY LOCATIONS...WITH SOME SINGLE DIGITS POSSIBLE OVER THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS. TEMPERATURES WILL STRUGGLE TO RISE VERY MUCH ON
THURSDAY...THEN ARE EXPECTED TO PLUNGE INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS
ACROSS MOST VALLEY LOCATIONS WITH SOME TEMPERATURES BELOW ZERO OVER
THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS THURSDAY NIGHT. HIGHS ON FRIDAY WILL LIKELY
BE IN THE 20S IN MANY VALLEY LOCATIONS...WITH SINGLE DIGITS AND
TEENS IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS.

THESE COLD TEMPERATURES...COMBINED WITH THE NORTH TO NORTHWEST
WINDS...WILL RESULT IN WIND CHILL VALUES BELOW ZERO AT TIMES OVER
THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS...REACHING AS LOW AS 5 BELOW TO 20 BELOW ZERO
THURSDAY NIGHT AND EARLY FRIDAY. WIND CHILL VALUES IN VALLEY
LOCATIONS WILL DIP INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS AND EVEN BELOW ZERO AT
TIMES...REACHING VALUES AS LOW AS 5 BELOW TO 5 ABOVE ZERO THURSDAY
NIGHT AND EARLY FRIDAY.

THESE COLD CONDITIONS CAN RESULT IN FROST BITE AND CAN LEAD TO
HYPOTHERMIA OR EVEN DEATH IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN. THOSE
VENTURING OUTDOORS DURING THIS TIME SHOULD DRESS WARMLY...MAKING
SURE ALL EXPOSED SKIN IS COVERED.

LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA FOR THE LATEST
UPDATES ON THIS SITUATION.

$$








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SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
559 AM CST WED JAN 14 2009


559 AM CST WED JAN 14 2009

...BITTERLY COLD TEMPERATURES EXPECTED THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...

AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT WILL RUSH INTO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY THIS
EVENING...BRINGING THE COLDEST AIR IN SIX YEARS TO THE REGION.
TEMPERATURES WILL FALL QUICKLY INTO THE 20S BEHIND THE FRONT AS IT
CROSSES THE AREA...AND INTO THE UPPER TEENS TO LOWER 20S BY
DAYBREAK THURSDAY. NORTHWEST WINDS OF 10 TO 15 MPH WILL COMBINE
WITH THE COLD TEMPERATURES TO PRODUCE WIND CHILLS IN THE SINGLE
DIGITS.

HIGH TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW FREEZING
THURSDAY...WHILE COLD NORTHWESTERLY WINDS PRODUCE WIND CHILLS IN
THE TEENS. CONDITIONS WILL BE COLDEST ON FRIDAY MORNING AS
TEMPERATURES FALL INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS AREAWIDE. SOME SHELTERED
VALLEY LOCATIONS MAY EVEN DROP BELOW ZERO. ALTHOUGH WINDS WILL BE
A LITTLE LIGHTER...WIND CHILL VALUES BELOW ZERO ARE ANTICIPATED
FOR MUCH OF THE AREA LATE THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING.
TEMPERATURES ARE NOT EXPECTED TO CLIMB ABOVE FREEZING UNTIL
SATURDAY...RESULTING IN A PROLONGED PERIOD OF SUBFREEZING
TEMPERATURES.

RESIDENTS SHOULD MAKE PREPARATIONS FOR VERY COLD
TEMPERATURES...ESPECIALLY THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING.
CHECK ON THOSE WHO MAY NOT HAVE ADEQUATE HEAT...AND REMEMBER TO
PROTECT PETS...PIPES...AND SENSITIVE OUTDOOR PLANTS.

$$

KDW





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SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
504 AM CST WED JAN 14 2009


BITTERLY COLD TEMPERATURES ARE HEADED FOR THE MID STATE...AND COLD
WEATHER SAFETY WILL BE A MUST.

THE EDGE OF A LARGE...AND FRIGID...ARCTIC HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM
WILL ENTER THE MID STATE LATE TODAY...AND THEN SPREAD ACROSS THE
AREA TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. LOW TEMPERATURES WILL DROP
INTO THE TEENS TONIGHT...BUT WILL PLUNGE TO BETWEEN ZERO AND FIVE
DEGREES THURSDAY NIGHT. SOME OF THE NORMALLY COLDER LOCATIONS COULD
SEE READINGS SLIP A FEW DEGREES BELOW ZERO. WIND CHILL READINGS
WILL RANGE BETWEEN ZERO AND TEN BELOW THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY
MORNING. TEMPERATURES THIS COLD CAN POSE A NUMBER OF DANGERS...

...MOST IMPORTANTLY...IT CAN SERIOUSLY AFFECT YOUR HEALTH.
EXTENDED EXPOSURE TO BITTER COLD CAN CAUSE FROSTBITE OR
HYPOTHERMIA. IF POSSIBLE...STAY INDOORS. IF YOU HAVE TO GO
OUTSIDE...LIMIT YOUR TIME IN THE COLD...AND BUNDLE UP WITH
COAT...CAP...AND GLOVES.

...CHECK ON THE ELDERLY TO MAKE SURE THEY HAVE ADEQUATE HEAT...AND
BRING PETS INDOORS AS MUCH AS POSSIBLE.

...EXPOSED WATER PIPES WILL ALSO BE AT RISK OF BURSTING. HOWEVER...
YOU CAN REDUCE THE RISK...BY INSULATING PIPES WITH DRY MATERIAL
...AND LEAVING A THIN...TRICKLE...OF WATER RUNNING AT INDOOR
FAUCETS. LOCATE YOUR SHUT OFF VALVE...SO THAT YOU CAN TURN YOUR
WATER OFF QUICKLY...IF YOUR PIPES SHOULD BREAK.

...BE VERY CAREFUL WHEN USING SPACE HEATERS...AND BE SURE SMOKE
DETECTORS ARE IN GOOD WORKING CONDITION. A MAN...IN NEBRASKA...
RECENTLY DIED...WHEN HE PLACED A SPACE HEATER TOO CLOSE TO
COMBUSTIBLE MATERIALS...BEFORE GOING TO BED.


AFTER THE TEMPERATURES DROP BELOW THE FREEZING MARK TONIGHT...
THEY ARE NOT EXPECTED TO WARM BACK ABOVE FREEZING UNTIL SATURDAY
AFTERNOON.

$$

19







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SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
510 AM EST WED JAN 14 2009


510 AM EST WED JAN 14 2009

...ARCTIC AIRMASS HEADED FOR EAST KENTUCKY TO END THE WORK WEEK...

A FAST MOVING STORM SYSTEM AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL MOVE
ACROSS THE BLUEGRASS STATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SNOW SHOWER
ACTIVITY WILL INCREASE ALONG AND BEHIND THIS FRONT OVERNIGHT TONIGHT
WITH UP TO AN INCH OF FLUFFY SNOW ACCUMULATION POSSIBLE ACROSS
EASTERN KENTUCKY BY THURSDAY MORNING.

MORE IMPORTANTLY... AN ARCTIC AIRMASS WILL DROP INTO THE REGION
BEHIND THE FRONT BRINGING THE COLDEST TEMPERATURES OF THE WINTER
SEASON FOR THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL FALL INTO THE
SINGLE DIGITS THURSDAY NIGHT... AND THEN AGAIN ON FRIDAY NIGHT FOR
MANY LOCATIONS. DAYTIME HIGHS WILL REMAIN IN THE TEENS FOR MOST
LOCATIONS THURSDAY AND AGAIN ON FRIDAY. WIND CHILL READINGS THURSDAY
THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING WILL DROP TO BETWEEN ZERO AND 10 BELOW ZERO AT
TIMES.

RESIDENTS OF EASTERN KENTUCKY SHOULD MAKE PREPARATIONS FOR THIS
ARCTIC OUTBREAK TODAY. WRAP AND INSULATE PIPES THAT WILL BE EXPOSED
TO THE COLD. ALSO... FIND SHELTER FOR PETS AND OUTDOOR LIVESTOCK AND
MAKE SURE THEY WILL HAVE UNOBSTRUCTED ACCESS TO WATER.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER
UPDATES ON THIS DEVELOPING SITUATION. FOR MORE INFORMATION... VISIT
OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/JACKSONKY.

$$

ABE




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SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
408 AM EST WED JAN 14 2009


408 AM EST WED JAN 14 2009 /308 AM CST WED JAN 14 2009/

...AN ARCTIC BLAST OF COLD AIR WILL ARRIVE TONIGHT...

IN THE WAKE OF A CLIPPER TYPE SYSTEM WHICH WILL MOVE THROUGH THE
LOWER OHIO VALLEY THIS AFTERNOON THE COLDEST AIR OF THE WINTER
WILL DROP INTO THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY. IN ADDITION TO THE COLD
TEMPERATURES GUSTY WINDS WILL MAKE IT FEEL EVEN COLDER.

READINGS ARE EXPECTED TO DROP INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS ACROSS
SOUTHERN INDIANA AND THE NORTHERN PORTION OF CENTRAL KENTUCKY
INCLUDING LEXINGTON AND LOUISVILLE TONIGHT. THESE TEMPERATURES
COMBINED WITH NORTHWEST WINDS OF 10 TO 20 MPH WILL PRODUCE WIND
CHILL READINGS FROM -5 TO -10 DEGREES THURSDAY MORNING. COLD AIR
WILL CONTINUE TO FILTER IN DURING THE DAY THURSDAY WITH THE
MERCURY STRUGGLING TO REACH THE 20 DEGREE MARK.

FRIDAY WILL BE THE COLDEST MORNING WITH LOWS DROPPING BELOW ZERO
IN SOME LOCATIONS ACROSS SOUTHERN INDIANA ALTHOUGH WINDS WILL NOT
BE AS STRONG.

IN ADDITION TO THE COLD AIR SOME LIGHT SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS SOUTHERN INDIANA AND THE NORTHERN
PORTION OF CENTRAL KENTUCKY. A FEW LOCATIONS MAY SEE UP TO A HALF
INCH OF SNOW...MAINLY ON GRASSY AREAS.

$$

JA/AML

[servocrow]

AFDOHX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
254 AM CST WED JAN 14 2009

.SHORT TERM...HERE WE ARE THIS MORNING, TEETERING ON THE EDGE OF
THE DEEP FREEZE, WAITING FOR A MILD WARM-UP THIS AFTERNOON BEFORE
WE PLUNGE INTO THE ARCTIC AIR. THINGS ARE PRETTY NIPPY TONIGHT,
BUT NOTHING COMPARED TO WHAT`S IN STORE FOR THURSDAY NIGHT AND
FRIDAY MORNING.

TEMPERATURES AT 08Z WERE MAINLY IN THE TEENS, WITH CRYSTAL CLEAR
SKIES PREVAILING.

NEXT POTENT COLD FRONT WAS POISED UP ACROSS IOWA, WITH A CLEAR AIM
AT PLUNGING SOUTHEASTWARD TOWARD THE MID STATE. IN FACT, THE
FORECAST MOVEMENT OF THIS FRONT IS NOW FASTER THAN INDICATED BY LAST
NIGHT`S MODEL RUNS, AND SENDS THE ARCTIC AIR PLUNGING INTO AT LEAST
NORTHERN SECTIONS OF OUR AREA BY 00Z. LARGE BATCH OF MID AND HIGH
CLOUDS WAS ALREADY INVADING THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY AT 08Z THIS
MORNING. EXPECT THOSE CLOUDS TO SPREAD INTO OUR AREA TODAY AND HELP
TEMPS BELOW MAV MOS GUIDANCE (DESPITE PRE-FRONTAL THERMAL RIDGE THAT
MOVES ACROSS THE AREA DURING THE AFTERNOON). MOISTURE WITH THIS
FRONT IS PRETTY ANEMIC AND, THEREFORE, ONLY EXPECT SOME POSSIBLE
FLURRIES (MAINLY OVER EASTERN AREAS).

AFTER THE FRONT PASSES LATE TODAY AND TONIGHT, ABOUT ALL WE CAN DO IS
BUNDLE UP AND WAIT FOR THE GIGANTIC AND FRIGID CANADIAN HIGH
PRESSURE SYSTEM TO PLOW ACROSS THE TENNESSEE VALLEY FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY.

HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE FINALLY MOVES EAST OF THE MID STATE SATURDAY
AFTERNOON AND NIGHT, ALLOWING FOR SOME MODERATION IN TEMPS. HOWEVER,
NORTHWEST FLOW KEEPS US IN A CLIPPER ENVIRONMENT THROUGH EARLY
NEXT WEEK, WITH LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS DROPPING RAPIDLY SOUTHEASTWARD
OUT OF THE NORTHERN PLAINS. THE NEXT COLD FRONT APPROACHES
SATURDAY AND SWEEPS THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT, WITH LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE LINGERING AROUND ON SUNDAY, ALONG WITH SOME POSSIBLE
FLURRIES.

.LONG TERM...YET ANOTHER COLD FRONT RAPIDLY SWINGS IN ON
MONDAY, AND CONSIDERING THE FAST NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT, HAVE GONE
CLOSER WITH THE ECMWF FRONTAL MOVEMENT, TAKING IT WELL EAST OF OUR
AREA BY 00Z TUE. MODELS SUGGEST THAT THE AXIS OF THIS COLD UPPER
TROUGH MAY FINALLY SLIP TO THE EAST COAST BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT
WEEK, ALLOWING FOR SOME POSSIBLE TEMPERATURE MODERATIONS. HOWEVER,
THAT`S A LONG WAY OUT, AND WE`LL JUST HAVE TO WAIT AND SEE.

[Coach B]

hope those heaters are working at school and on the buses!

It was before I was teaching, but they tell me that my system closed a couple of days in 1996 because of the cold.  Buses wouldn't start.  I need to look it up, but that may be the last time we were below zero.

[JayCee]

Got down to 17 this morning.  Again, the lake keeps me a bit warmer than surrounding areas.  Gotta love that water...

[JayCee]

It was before I was teaching, but they tell me that my system closed a couple of days in 1996 because of the cold.  Buses wouldn't start.  I need to look it up, but that may be the last time we were below zero.

I lived in southeast Ky then, and 95-96 was the last REAL winter we've had since.  We had mulitple snows, many cold outbreaks, and it was the last time we were well below zero.  It was similar to the winter of 84-85.  I think we've come close to zero since, but nothing like the extended cold of 95-96. 

[dwagner88]

I was down to 15.7 this morning. only forecast to get down to around 21.

[Thundersnow]

Incidentally, 1996 and 2003 (the last times it was near zero or below) were also the last winters that Nashville recorded above average snowfall.

[JayCee]

Incidentally, 1996 and 2003 (the last times it was near zero or below) were also the last winters that Nashville recorded above average snowfall.

Hmmm...could that be a sign that snow is comin' our way?  We can only hope...      

[Thundersnow]

Hmmm...could that be a sign that snow is comin' our way?  We can only hope...      

Well, maybe.  Typically, when we've gone this cold before, it was aided by snow being on the ground in the first place (which was the case with the coldest temperature in both years above).

At least we're getting good dips in the jet stream with cold air favoring us this year.  Now, if we can only get the split flow being advertised to help spin up some chances...