March Snow 2008 (March 7-8 Snow Discussion)

[Nashville_wx]

No one should hold their breath. We are not alone in the snow drought. The Midwest has done awesome this year and thats about it

[Yazoo63]

No one should hold their breath. We are not alone in the snow drought. The Midwest has done awesome this year and thats about it

It's not just the Midwest.  Snowfall records have been crushed in the Northeast this winter as well.

If guess the moral of this story is ... if you want it to snow where you live on a regular basis, then you need to live in a region where the climate is conducive for that to happen.  Unfortunately, Tennessee just 'aint it.

We'll get our share of snow.  We just have to wait longer for it.

[lyngo]

I'd like to see the Euro surface maps between 96 & 120.  Looks like it's getting close to a decent track for our neck of the woods but I can't tell what's going on between those hours.

[lyngo]

Canadian model showing a little mischef for Fri nite Saturday....

[Curt]

18Z NAM looks interesting on day4...although it can be unreliable at this point. It is certainly trying to activate the souther stram jet over a cold air mass with precip showing up in central and southern arkansas. 12z NAM was dry as a bone thus a major change on this run.

[StormAlertWX]

wow looks like ill be getting snow
east tennessee babby :0)

[Nashville_wx]

Coastal area of NE have not. VT surely has tho as well as some interior places and normal LES band areas.

[Nashville_wx]

wow looks like ill be getting snow
east tennessee babby :0)

I would rather be in west TN. Thnigs have not changed.

[Curt]

I would rather be in west TN. Thnigs have not changed.

I love that Accu just skips over WTN altogether on this map

[Eric]

I would rather be in west TN. Thnigs have not changed.

I wouldn't trust this anymore than I can throw it, which isn't far.  There is no way that this particular low will suddenly escape from the throes of the evil Southeast Ridge and ride the mountains northeast.  Nope, no way in Hades.  Remember, this is coming from Hackuweather, a land far away where everything is model driven and can virtually change with each model run.  Still not gonna hold my breath.

[Ron_Jarrell]

Here's relevant bits of OHX AFD - interesting how they threw the long term CPC forecasts in:

FXUS64 KOHX 032142
AFDOHX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
342 PM CST MON MAR 3

A SECOND COLD FRONT MOVES INTO THE AREA LATE WED NGT AND THU AM
BRINGING A CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE DAYTIME AND MIXED OR FROZEN
PRECIP AT NIGHT. A THIRD COLD FRONT MOVES IN FRI NIGHT BRINGING
MORE COLD AIR TO THE AREA WITH THE MIXED/FROZEN PRECIP ON THE MENU.
THE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN IS COOPERATING IN THE WED TO MON TIME FRAME
WITH NWLY FLOW ALOFT AND A SUCCESSION OF WEAK IMPULSES ALOFT
PUSHING COLD AIR AT THE MIDSTATE. THUS BELOW NORMAL TEMPS ARE EXPECTED
THROUGH AT LEAST THE WEEKEND. AFTER THAT CPC PROGS SHOW TEMPS
RETURNING TO NORMAL WITH THE ONE MONTH AND 3 MONTH PROGS INDICATING
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS.

[JJJackson]

I guess this means no May snow.

[Ron_Jarrell]

I guess this means no May snow.

[Woodvegas]

3-3 12Z Euro is a step in the right direction. It shows a Miller A with the low shifted more to the west compared to the 0Z run. In fact it now shows some snow in TN I believe. On the other hand the 12Z GFS shows the low much farther east than on the Euro with an unfavorable track.

[toastido]

If only something like this would happen the week ending 3/14.. I'll be close to center hill lake chiling at a lake house... would be PERFECT to wake up to snow on the shore..