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Author Topic: The week of February 3rd-9th  (Read 1664 times)

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Offline Woodvegas

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The week of February 3rd-9th
« on: January 31, 2008, 04:27:24 PM »
A couple of events to keep an eye on:
Wednesday 2/6=post frontal passage snow showers?
Saturday 2/9= a little snow?

Offline Woodvegas

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Re: The week of February 3rd-9th
« Reply #1 on: February 01, 2008, 11:41:35 AM »
2/1 12z GFS has the second event on Friday instead of Saturday. Wednesday event looks about the same with possible post frontal passage snow flurries/showers.

Offline Nashville_wx

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Re: The week of February 3rd-9th
« Reply #2 on: February 01, 2008, 01:06:31 PM »
The only way we are going to see the accumulating snowfall we want is to have a Low Track To the south of nashville right over Birmingham. The system you are looking at  on friday has .25"QPF with it in the form of "snow". 2-3" snowfall would be possible with something like that. Its too far out to even think about nailing down yet. The one thing we can always do tho is watch.


Offline dave

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Re: The week of February 3rd-9th
« Reply #3 on: February 01, 2008, 01:35:45 PM »
Its too far out to even think about nailing down yet.

The way forecasts have been going this winter, you could make that statement 3 hours out from the start of an alledged "event"...
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Offline Woodvegas

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Re: The week of February 3rd-9th
« Reply #4 on: February 01, 2008, 03:08:58 PM »
The only way we are going to see the accumulating snowfall we want is to have a Low Track To the south of nashville right over Birmingham. The system you are looking at  on friday has .25"QPF with it in the form of "snow". 2-3" snowfall would be possible with something like that. Its too far out to even think about nailing down yet. The one thing we can always do tho is watch.

I agree completely....these are only a couple of things to keep an eye on at this point. The 2/1 12z Euro shows nothing on Friday but does show something (clipper?) on Saturday and is similar to the GFS for Wednesday.

Offline WeatherRocker

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Re: The week of February 3rd-9th
« Reply #5 on: February 01, 2008, 05:18:23 PM »
The way forecasts have been going this winter, you could make that statement 3 hours out from the start of an alledged "event"...
Truth.

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Offline StormAlertWX

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Re: The week of February 3rd-9th
« Reply #6 on: February 02, 2008, 12:49:31 PM »
interesting.....

Offline Woodvegas

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Re: The week of February 3rd-9th
« Reply #7 on: February 02, 2008, 02:14:08 PM »
2/2 12z GFS and Euro show no significant changes for Tuesday-Wednesday. Neither model shows anything of note for next weekend. Long term prospects look bleak at this point. Maybe we'll get a pattern change at the end of the month. Yuk!

Offline Thundersnow

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Re: The week of February 3rd-9th
« Reply #8 on: February 02, 2008, 02:20:54 PM »
I went out a little while ago.  The temperature is mild, and the sun angle is noticeably a little higher now that we're a few weeks past the solstice. 

I think I'm close to being ready for Spring.  :)

That's what I like about this time of year (February into early March).  There are hints of Spring, yet winter weather is still a possibility. 

Don't know what we'll see in terms of winter weather from here on out though.  ???

We just kinda have to roll with whatever happens, I guess.
« Last Edit: February 02, 2008, 02:24:20 PM by Thundersnow »

Offline dave

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Re: The week of February 3rd-9th
« Reply #9 on: February 02, 2008, 07:34:48 PM »
I went out a little while ago.  The temperature is mild, and the sun angle is noticeably a little higher now that we're a few weeks past the solstice. 

I think I'm close to being ready for Spring.  :)

On this very pleasant day, I thought to myself how nice it would be if it had been 70 instead of 60.  So, I guess that means I am ready for spring also...
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Offline luv4tn

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Re: The week of February 3rd-9th
« Reply #10 on: February 03, 2008, 12:30:24 PM »
To show you that there's hope ... nature over here is ready for spring. Snowdrops coming out in my back yard. So who needs a groundhog for that ...  ;D  ???

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Offline Snowman

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Re: The week of February 3rd-9th
« Reply #11 on: February 04, 2008, 07:25:04 PM »
NWS still throwing out a slight chance of rain/snow flurries thursday night and friday night. I see nothing in the models  to get excited about. Big story is gonna be the warm weather tomorrow and the severe weather.
Brandon

Offline jmundie

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Re: The week of February 3rd-9th
« Reply #12 on: February 04, 2008, 10:57:48 PM »
0z GFS tonight showing a BIG cooldown this weekend. Lows in the teens, and looks like it locks in for several days. Giving us some snow chances to track.

Be interesting to watch. I'm glad winter isn't quite over.

Offline Coach B

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Re: The week of February 3rd-9th
« Reply #13 on: February 05, 2008, 07:27:51 AM »
All of the attention is deservedly on the severe chances tonight.  However, you have to give credit to OHX for their morning disco for discussing the cold possibilities over the weekend:

Quote
A WEAK WAVE PASSES BY ON THU...BUT WITH VERY LIMITED MOISTURE RETURN
NO SGFNT WX IS EXPECTED. HOWEVER...THIS WAVE AND THE ONE THAT
FOLLOWS IT ON SAT SETUP A STRONG NWLY FLOW RIGHT OUT OF WEST CNTRL
CANADA. THIS SHOULD BE ENOUGH TO RELEASE PENT UP ARCTIC AIR SEWD
ACROSS THE NRN PLAINS AND EVENTUALLY (THATS RIGHT...YOU GUESSED IT!)
OUR LITTLE CORNER OF THE WORLD. THIS IS A SGFNT CHANGE FROM THE
PREVIOUS 00Z RUN. HOWEVER...FSU CONFIDENCE GRAPHICS DO NOT SHOW
SGFNT DISAGREEMENT AMONG ENSEMBLE MEMBERS. THUS WE TEND TO BELIEVE
THIS WILL HAPPEN...ALTHOUGH THE NUMBERS MAY NOT BE AS COLD AS THE
GFS THINKS. BUT FOR NOW AM WILLING TO GO ALONG WITH THIS IDEA.
« Last Edit: February 05, 2008, 04:01:12 PM by msdawg911 »
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Offline Nashville_wx

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Re: The week of February 3rd-9th
« Reply #14 on: February 05, 2008, 03:58:35 PM »
12Z Gfs Ensembles interesting.


 

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