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Author Topic: Climate Change & Cyclical Snowfall Averages  (Read 14553 times)

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Offline StormNine

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Re: Climate Change & Cyclical Snowfall Averages
« Reply #60 on: January 20, 2019, 04:27:23 PM »
Here are two selected sites and their snow trends since the 1980s.

- Overall the 2000s stunk and even Kentucky only averaged about 4-6 inches of snow per year during that decade. December 2000 and the winter of 2002-03 are the only saving graces of that whole decade. 

- The 2010s I would imagine would be an improvement for most if not all of us versus the 2000s.

- The 2010s are the best decade for most of Kentucky due to the killer winters of 2009-10, 2010-11, 2013-14 (in some locations), and 2014-15 and I would be interested to see if the 2010s are the best snow decade of the four for NW TN and the Missouri Boothill as well.   

- If you talk to people from Memphis the 90s are their worse snow decade. Minus the Ice Storm of 1994 they missed out on pretty much everything that other people enjoyed from 1993 to 1996.   

Bowling Green (KY):
1980s: 10 inches
1990s: 7.9 inches
2000s (missing 2007-08): 4.7 inches
2010s: 12.4 inches 
Average: 9.0 inches

Knoxville:
1980s: 11.4 inches
1990s: 4.7 inches
2000s: 1.9 inches (data is missing from the winters of 00-01 to 03-04 so the only decent winter 02-03 is missing)
2010s:  6.0 inches
Average: 6.5 inches

They are missing 2002-03 meaning that the average snowfall for Knoxville is probably closer to 3 inches of snow or maybe even a bit more for that decade, but still a downright ugly decade for snow. 



 

Offline schneitzeit

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Re: Climate Change & Cyclical Snowfall Averages
« Reply #61 on: January 20, 2019, 06:01:24 PM »
^^^ In Nashville, I think that may be a little different. Remember the 2014 Nashville snow dome?

2012-2015 was little snow and almost all ice for Nashville

Post Merge: January 20, 2019, 06:04:36 PM
Memorable Nashville area snows I recall during my childhood (that is, when I did live in Nashville)

Jan '03 storm
Feb '06
March '08
Dec '08 (the same storm that produced historic snow in New Orleans)
March '09 (mostly south of Nashville)

Post Merge: January 20, 2019, 06:09:44 PM
In the 2010s I remember

Jan 29-30, 2010
Dec 2010
Jan 2011

And that's it until Jan 2016. Everything in between was a joke.
« Last Edit: January 20, 2019, 06:09:44 PM by schneitzeit, Reason: Merged DoublePost »

Offline Clay

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Re: Climate Change & Cyclical Snowfall Averages
« Reply #62 on: January 20, 2019, 06:33:34 PM »
^^^ In Nashville, I think that may be a little different. Remember the 2014 Nashville snow dome?

2012-2015 was little snow and almost all ice for Nashville

Post Merge: January 20, 2019, 06:04:36 PM
Memorable Nashville area snows I recall during my childhood (that is, when I did live in Nashville)

Jan '03 storm
Feb '06
March '08
Dec '08 (the same storm that produced historic snow in New Orleans)
March '09 (mostly south of Nashville)

Post Merge: January 20, 2019, 06:09:44 PM
In the 2010s I remember

Jan 29-30, 2010
Dec 2010
Jan 2011

And that's it until Jan 2016. Everything in between was a joke.
Wasn't Feb 06 the infamous I-65 warm nose rain to snow to rain event?

Offline schneitzeit

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Re: Climate Change & Cyclical Snowfall Averages
« Reply #63 on: January 20, 2019, 08:38:26 PM »
Good question; I remember not expecting it at all. I was only 9. I remember pulling the curtains that morning to get ready for school and seeing three or four inches of snow on the ground. Moments like that make you miss childhood ::snowman:: :laugh:

Offline JayCee

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Re: Climate Change & Cyclical Snowfall Averages
« Reply #64 on: January 20, 2019, 08:52:54 PM »
Good question; I remember not expecting it at all. I was only 9. I remember pulling the curtains that morning to get ready for school and seeing three or four inches of snow on the ground. Moments like that make you miss childhood ::snowman:: :laugh:

My best memories are those of being completely surprised by an unforecast snowstorm.  I remember pulling the blinds aside and seeing the ground buried in snow when the forecast called for mainly rain.  Good, good times!
"For many years I was self-appointed inspector of snowstorms and rainstorms, and did my duty faithfully, though I never received one cent for it.." 
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Offline gcbama

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Re: Climate Change & Cyclical Snowfall Averages
« Reply #65 on: January 21, 2019, 01:01:48 PM »
Wasn't Feb 06 the infamous I-65 warm nose rain to snow to rain event?

I have been trying to remember the year of this storm for a while now also!
Western Middle TN got 3-5 inches but right along I-65 got nothing hardly at all and then east Tennessee got snow also...I live in Lewis county so I remember it.

I clearly remember lisa patton on WKRN the next day saying "she had egg all over her face" lol. But I am unsure if this is the same storm?

Offline BRUCE

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Re: Climate Change & Cyclical Snowfall Averages
« Reply #66 on: January 22, 2019, 08:32:50 AM »
I really miss the good ole winters In the 70s....
Come on severe wx season...

Offline Thundersnow

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Re: Climate Change & Cyclical Snowfall Averages
« Reply #67 on: January 22, 2019, 08:56:18 AM »
I have been trying to remember the year of this storm for a while now also!
Western Middle TN got 3-5 inches but right along I-65 got nothing hardly at all and then east Tennessee got snow also...I live in Lewis county so I remember it.

I clearly remember lisa patton on WKRN the next day saying "she had egg all over her face" lol. But I am unsure if this is the same storm?

Yeah, Feb 2006 was that terrible bust for Nashville. We should have the thread for that system on this forum. That was in the very earliest days of this forum... which makes for a good source of history for weather in TN since 2006.

I can remember the excitement of seeing the pictures of heavy wet snow coming in from West TN... knowing it was supposedly coming our way... then, pretty much nada.

Offline snowdog

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Re: Climate Change & Cyclical Snowfall Averages
« Reply #68 on: January 22, 2019, 10:34:45 AM »
Yeah, Feb 2006 was that terrible bust for Nashville. We should have the thread for that system on this forum. That was in the very earliest days of this forum... which makes for a good source of history for weather in TN since 2006.

I can remember the excitement of seeing the pictures of heavy wet snow coming in from West TN... knowing it was supposedly coming our way... then, pretty much nada.

Went to a Bachelor Party that night and still remember that bust (no pun intended). That one hurt.

Offline Clay

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Re: Climate Change & Cyclical Snowfall Averages
« Reply #69 on: January 22, 2019, 11:27:34 AM »
I actually remember a changeover snow to with about an inch before the changeover washed it all away.  >:(

Offline snowdog

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Re: Climate Change & Cyclical Snowfall Averages
« Reply #70 on: February 01, 2019, 10:46:34 AM »
Since we are back in a relaxed pattern for a few days, thought I would throw this out. I keep an updated spreadsheet of recorded yearly snowfall at BNA. Yeah, I'm a nerd.  8)  Annnnyway, here is a quick look at running 10, 20 30, year snowfall averages at each decade (ending in 2018).

We are currently roughly on avg 2" behind the worst 20 or 30 year running average since 1900. That is pretty amazing, to be that far behind on a 20 or 30 year scale.

Another interesting stat, at worst throughout our history, in a 20 year span we would have 10-12 of those winters at 4" or above. That has now fallen to 5 or 6 out of 20 in our recent history. Back then, we would have at worst in a 20 year stretch, 3 or 4 winters above 16" yearly. Now we are at 0 to 1.



Offline BRUCE

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Re: Climate Change & Cyclical Snowfall Averages
« Reply #71 on: February 01, 2019, 10:58:27 AM »
I remember when we used to get a good clipper or two every winter... and the good ole backside snows wrap around type snows... there fading also....

Post Merge: February 01, 2019, 11:04:04 AM
I remember when we used to get a good clipper or two every winter... and the good ole backside snows wrap around type snows... there fading also....
on a sad note... the polar vortex has now claimed its 8th victim... an iowa student frozen to death. :'(
« Last Edit: February 01, 2019, 11:04:28 AM by BRUCE »
Come on severe wx season...

Offline JayCee

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Re: Climate Change & Cyclical Snowfall Averages
« Reply #72 on: February 01, 2019, 01:03:13 PM »
I've noticed winter seems to have withdrawn from the Great Plains over the last decade as well.  In the 70's through the 90's, massive blizzards and severe cold outbreaks (blue northers) seemed common every winter from Oklahoma to Nebraska.  I think the last blizzard to effect the southern plains was way back in 2011--the same year TN saw a good southern slider come through.  That's a long stretch without much snow. 
"For many years I was self-appointed inspector of snowstorms and rainstorms, and did my duty faithfully, though I never received one cent for it.." 
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Offline Dyersburg Weather

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Re: Climate Change & Cyclical Snowfall Averages
« Reply #73 on: February 01, 2019, 07:01:24 PM »
I've noticed winter seems to have withdrawn from the Great Plains over the last decade as well.  In the 70's through the 90's, massive blizzards and severe cold outbreaks (blue northers) seemed common every winter from Oklahoma to Nebraska.  I think the last blizzard to effect the southern plains was way back in 2011--the same year TN saw a good southern slider come through.  That's a long stretch without much snow.
Bingo. It seems we donít get the cold in the center of the country like we use to. Seems more east based now. Back in the day the storms would come out of Texas and across Arkansas and ride the edge of the cold air locked in the center of the country.

Offline StormNine

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Re: Climate Change & Cyclical Snowfall Averages
« Reply #74 on: February 01, 2019, 07:27:33 PM »
Tulsa, OK did pretty good in the 2000s and early 2010s but since 2010-11 it has been quite lousy. 

https://w2.weather.gov/climate/xmacis.php?wfo=tsa

Average is about 8-9 inches for Tulsa or about what most KY/TN border locations average west of the Cumberland Plateau.   

 

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